Results are starting to come in for the 2011 4Q performance of U.S. companies, beginning with Alcoa this past Monday. The aluminum maker surprised the market with higher than expected revenue and a bullish outlook for 2012. Do you have a watchlist for the other companies soon reporting?
Earnings season is always a big stock price mover. Every quarter, companies release their earnings over the last quarter, their revenues, and their outlooks for the future. Analysts use these reports as a way to reassess their target prices on the companies and their outlooks on the economy. Investors pay close attention too for any signs of unexpected change.
Business section: Investing ideas
For ideas on how to create a watch list, we ran a screen on next week's reporting companies. We screened these stocks for those with strong sources of profitability, measured by DuPont analysis on return on equity (ROE).
DuPont analyzes return on equity (or net income/equity) profitability by breaking ROE up into three components:
= (Net Profit/Equity)
= (Net profit/Sales)*(Sales/Assets)*(Assets/Equity)
= (Net Profit margin)*(Asset turnover)*(Leverage ratio)
We therefore focus on companies with the following positive characteristics: Increasing ROE along with:
- Decreasing leverage, i.e., decreasing Asset/Equity ratio
- Improving asset use efficiency (i.e., increasing Sales/Assets ratio) and improving net profit margin (i.e., increasing Net Income/Sales ratio)
Companies with all of these characteristics are experiencing increasing profits due to operations and not to increased use of financial leverage.
Do you think these companies' profitability will continue through this earnings season?
List sorted by increase in ROE. (Click here to access free, interactive tools to analyze these ideas.)
1. General Electric
2. Meridian Bioscience: Develops, sells, and distributes diagnostic test kits. Market cap of $773.66M. Earnings to be announced on 01/16. MRQ Net Profit Margin increased to 16.23% from 14.97% year-over-year, Sales/Assets increased to 0.27 from 0.23, while Assets/Equity decreased to 1.12 from 1.13.
3. Intuitive Surgical
4. Parker Hannifin: Manufactures fluid power systems, electromechanical controls, and related components. Market cap of $11.91B. Earnings to be announced on 01/16. MRQ Net Profit Margin increased to 9.18% from 8.74% year-over-year, Sales/Assets increased to 0.31 from 0.26, while Assets/Equity decreased to 2.06 from 2.19.
5. Skyworks Solutions
6. Union Pacific
7. Western Digital
Interactive Chart: Press Play to compare changes in analyst ratings over the last two years for the stocks mentioned above. Analyst ratings sourced from Zacks Investment Research.
Data compiled by Danny Guttridge. Kapitall's by Alexander Crawford, and Danny Guttridge do not own any of the shares mentioned above. Accounting data sourced from Google Finance.
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