With 2012 just beginning, now's a great time to gauge how the stocks you're interested in are likely to do this year and beyond. By knowing what stock analysts and fellow investors expect from a stock, you'll be smarter about whether you should buy it for your portfolio -- or sell it if you already own it.
Today, let's take a look at Coldwater Creek
Forecasts on Coldwater Creek
|Median Target Stock Price||$1.20|
|Fiscal 2012 EPS Estimate||($1.07)|
|Fiscal 2013 EPS Estimate||($0.53)|
|Expected Annual Earnings Growth, Next 5 Years||0%|
|Expected Revenue Growth, Fiscal 2013||1%|
Source: Yahoo! Finance.
Can Coldwater Creek solve its problems in 2012?
Analysts don't seem very bullish about Coldwater Creek. Their target price on the stock is only $0.28 higher than its current level -- and while that'd be a considerable percentage gain, it's a far cry from where the shares traded as recently as last May.
Fellow Fools Austin Smith and Sean Williams have already gone through the bearish case for Coldwater Creek. The company's losing money, has seen same-store sales drop sharply, and has been unable to match rival ANN
But nearly the entire women's apparel industry has gone through some tough times lately. Talbots
The company gave investors more bad news yesterday, as it made further reductions to earnings guidance. But it at least seems that the rate of decline in sales has started to slow, and if CEO Dennis Pence is correct in his expectation that the company will cut overhead and inventory levels to produce gross margin improvement of 2 to 4 percentage points, then it would go a long way toward starting to dig Coldwater Creek out of its hole. Also, with cotton prices finally reversing gains from past years and falling sharply last year, the company may be in better position to cut costs and survive -- if it can make it through the next few quarters.
2012 will be a tough year for Coldwater Creek, and the stock is definitely a risky one at current penny-stock levels. But with everyone betting on the company to fail, the shares have a lot of upside if the company can somehow pull out a recovery. With a lot of help, Coldwater Creek could become a huge turnaround story.
Retail is a tough business, but one retailer has a lot going for it right now. Find out which one in the Motley Fool's special report: "The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2012." The report is 100% free, so find out the name of this stock today while you still can.
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