Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.
What: Shares of Chinese hotel chain Home Inns & Hotels Management
So what: The stock has been on a nice run so far in 2012, but today's big fourth-quarter miss -- EPS of just $0.12 versus the consensus of $0.28 -- is forcing Mr. Market to sober up a bit. Slowing economic growth in China continues to weigh on occupancy rates and revenue per room, giving investors plenty of reason to be concerned.
Now what: Looking ahead, management sees full-year 2012 revenue of $923.9 million, versus the average analyst estimate of $853 million. "Although there are few uncertainties in the overall economy in China in 2012," said CEO David Sun in the conference call, "we are confident that our strong business fundamentals will see us through to continue health[y] growth in the long run." Given its still-lofty P/E, however, Home Inns' risks don't seem worth taking on.
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