Every investor would love to stumble upon the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that provides everything you could possibly want?
One thing's for sure: You'll never discover truly great investments unless you actively look for them. Let's discuss the ideal qualities of a perfect stock, then decide if Arkansas Best
The quest for perfection
Stocks that look great based on one factor may prove horrible elsewhere, making due diligence a crucial part of your investing research. The best stocks excel in many different areas, including these important factors:
- Growth. Expanding businesses show healthy revenue growth. While past growth is no guarantee that revenue will keep rising, it's certainly a better sign than a stagnant top line.
- Margins. Higher sales mean nothing if a company can't produce profits from them. Strong margins ensure that company can turn revenue into profit.
- Balance sheet. At debt-laden companies, banks and bondholders compete with shareholders for management's attention. Companies with strong balance sheets don't have to worry about the distraction of debt.
- Money-making opportunities. Return on equity helps measure how well a company is finding opportunities to turn its resources into profitable business endeavors.
- Valuation. You can't afford to pay too much for even the best companies. By using normalized figures, you can see how a stock's simple earnings multiple fits into a longer-term context.
- Dividends. For tangible proof of profits, a check to shareholders every three months can't be beat. Companies with solid dividends and strong commitments to increasing payouts treat shareholders well.
With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at Arkansas Best.
What We Want to See
Pass or Fail?
|Growth||5-Year Annual Revenue Growth > 15%||0.3%||Fail|
|1-Year Revenue Growth > 12%||10.4%||Fail|
|Margins||Gross Margin > 35%||8.1%||Fail|
|Net Margin > 15%||0.0%||Fail|
|Balance Sheet||Debt to Equity < 50%||16.8%||Pass|
|Current Ratio > 1.3||1.61||Pass|
|Opportunities||Return on Equity > 15%||0.2%||Fail|
|Valuation||Normalized P/E < 20||92.32||Fail|
|Dividends||Current Yield > 2%||0.9%||Fail|
|5-Year Dividend Growth > 10%||(27.5%)||Fail|
|Total Score||2 out of 10|
Source: S&P Capital IQ. Total score = number of passes.
Since we looked at Arkansas Best last year, the company has lost a point. Slow revenue growth is to blame for the score drop, but what has investors really worried is the 50% drop in its share price over the past year.
The entire transportation sector has gotten hurt badly from a tough environment recently, and trucking companies have had a worse time of it than their peers in other areas. High oil prices make trucking operations especially expensive, which pushed shares of Swift Transportation
Arkansas Best managed to get one thing accomplished: It became profitable. But its fourth-quarter results still fell well short of expectations, as price increases led to a drop in tonnage and a miss on the revenue front as well. Still, even with its sky-high earnings multiple making it clear that its profits are minimal, Arkansas Best still took a step in the right direction.
Yet Arkansas Best has struggled even in relation to its peers. Back in April, analysts upgraded rival CH Robinson
As long as energy prices remain high, giving CSX
No stock is a sure thing, but some stocks are a lot closer to perfect than others. By looking for the perfect stock, you'll go a long way toward improving your investing prowess and learning how to separate out the best investments from the rest.
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