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Will These Numbers from Harley-Davidson Be Good Enough for You?

By Seth Jayson - Updated Apr 7, 2017 at 12:20PM

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Checking expectations

Harley-Davidson (NYSE: HOG) is expected to report Q3 earnings on Oct. 23. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict Harley-Davidson's revenues will shrink -8.7% and EPS will drop -25.6%.

The average estimate for revenue is $1.13 billion. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.58.

Revenue details
Last quarter, Harley-Davidson logged revenue of $1.57 billion. GAAP reported sales were 15% higher than the prior-year quarter's $1.51 billion.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Last quarter, EPS came in at $1.07. GAAP EPS of $1.07 for Q2 were 32% higher than the prior-year quarter's $0.81 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 39.4%, 60 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 23.0%, 200 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 14.3%, 160 basis points better than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead

The full year's average estimate for revenue is $4.93 billion. The average EPS estimate is $2.76.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a two-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 1,453 members out of 1,855 rating the stock outperform, and 402 members rating it underperform. Among 482 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 409 give Harley-Davidson a green thumbs-up, and 73 give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Harley-Davidson is outperform, with an average price target of $56.00.

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Stocks Mentioned

Harley-Davidson, Inc. Stock Quote
Harley-Davidson, Inc.
HOG
$32.34 (-0.28%) $0.09

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