Investing isn't easy. Even Warren Buffett counsels that most investors should invest in a low-cost index like the S&P 500. That way, "you'll be buying into a wonderful industry, which in effect is all of American industry," he says.
But there are, of course, companies whose long-term fortunes differ substantially from the index. In this series, we look at how individual stocks have performed against the broad S&P 500.
Step on up, Cincinnati Financial (CINF +0.90%).
Cincinnati Financial shares have easily outperformed the S&P 500 over the past quarter-century:
Source: S&P Capital IQ.
Since 1987, shares have returned an average of 11.1% a year, compared with 9.7% a year for the S&P (both include dividends). One thousand dollars invested in the S&P in 1987 would be worth $19,200 today. In Cincinnati Financial, it'd be worth $28,900.
Dividends accounted for a lot of those gains. Compounded since 1987, dividends have made up about 60% of Cincinnati Financial's total returns. For the S&P, dividends account for 39% of total returns.
Now have a look at how Cincinnati Financial earnings compare with S&P 500 earnings:
Source: S&P Capital IQ.
Some underperformance here. Since 1995, Cincinnati Financial's earnings per share have declined by an average of 2.4% a year, compared with 6% a year gain for the broader index.
What's that meant for valuations? Cincinnati Financial has traded for an average of 23 times earnings since 1987 -- just below the 24 times earnings for the broader S&P 500.
Through it all, shares have been strong performers over the past quarter-century.
Of course, the important question is whether that will continue. That's where you come in. Our CAPS community currently ranks Cincinnati Financial with a four-star rating (out of five). Care to disagree? Leave your thoughts in the comment section below, or add Cincinnati Financial to My Watchlist.
