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A Blue-Chip Starter Portfolio: BHP Billitonc, HSBC Holdings and Royal Dutch Shell

By G. A. Chester - Apr 2, 2013 at 1:42PM

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How do Royal Dutch Shell, HSBC Holdings, BHP Billiton, and the U.K.’s other seven industry giants shape up as a starter portfolio?

LONDON -- Every quarter, I take a look at the largest FTSE 100 companies in each of the index's 10 industries to see how they shape up as a potential "starter" portfolio.

The table below shows the 10 industry heavyweights and their current valuations based on forecast 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios and dividend yields.

CompanyIndustryRecent Share Price (in pence)P/EYield (%)
ARM Holdings Technology 921 44.9 0.6
BHP Billiton (BHP) (BBL) Basic Materials 1,915 10.1 4.1
British American Tobacco Consumer Goods 3,527 15.0 4.3
GlaxoSmithKline Health Care 1,539 13.0 5.1
HSBC Holdings (HSBA 0.57%) Financials 703 10.7 4.8
National Grid Utilities 765 14.0 5.5
Rolls-Royce Industrials 1,130 16.9 2.0
Royal Dutch Shell (RDSB) (RDS.B) Oil & Gas 2,185 8.0 5.4
Tesco Consumer Services 382 11.6 4.1
Vodafone Telecommunications 187 11.4 5.9

Excluding tech share ARM Holdings, the companies have an average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.3 and an average dividend yield of 4.6%. The table below shows how the current ratings compare with those of the past.

 P/EYield (%)
April 2013 12.3 4.6
January 2013 11.4 4.9
October 2012 11.1 5.0
July 2012 10.7 5.0
October 2011 9.8 5.2

As you can see, the group of nine industry heavyweights is rated more highly today than at any time in the past couple of years.

My rule of thumb for this group is that an average P/E below 10 is firmly in "good value" territory, while a P/E above 14 starts to move toward expensive. On this spectrum the group as a whole is neither cheap nor expensive. As such, I think the market currently offers a fair opportunity for long-term investors to buy a blue-chip bedrock of industry heavyweights for a U.K. equity portfolio.

At the individual company level, there are three stocks whose ratings compare favorably with their level three months ago. So, let's have a look at them.

BHP Billiton
After strong rises in equity markets since the start of the year, the share prices of eight of the U.K.'s 10 industry giants are higher today than when I last looked at them in January. Global mining titan BHP Billiton is the bigger underperformer of the two exceptions: The company's shares are trading at 1,915 pence compared with 2,145 pence last time.

BHP Billiton's drop in share price, and some upgrades to forecast earnings and dividends, bring the P/E down to an attractive-looking 10.1 from 12.8, while the yield rises to an industry-leading 4.1% from 3.6%.

Royal Dutch Shell
Oil super-major Royal Dutch Shell is the other company whose shares are lower today than three months ago -- but by very little: 2,185 pence compared with 2,197 pence.

Shell's P/E remains firmly in "value" territory at a mere eight (the same as last time), making the company the only one of our industry giants with an earnings multiple in the single digits at the present time. Meanwhile, the dividend yield has edged up from 5.1% to an even-juicier 5.4%.

Banking behemoth HSBC, in contrast to BHP Billiton and Shell, has seen its shares rise since January: by 8% to 703 pence from 651 pence.

Nevertheless, as a result of the City's more optimistic earnings and dividend outlook, HSBC's P/E today is only fractionally higher than last time: 10.7 compared with 10.6. The company's sector-leading dividend yield has nudged up to 4.8% from 4.6%.

Finally, if you already have BHP Billiton, Shell, and HSBC tucked away in your portfolio and are in the market for more blue-chip shares, I recommend you help yourself to the very latest free Motley Fool report.

You see, the Fool's top analysts have identified a select group of Footsie companies they believe will generate superior long-term growth. Such is their conviction about the quality of these businesses that they've called the report "5 Shares to Retire On."

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Stocks Mentioned

Royal Dutch Shell plc Stock Quote
Royal Dutch Shell plc
HSBC Holdings plc Stock Quote
HSBC Holdings plc
$524.30 (0.57%) $3.00
Royal Dutch Shell plc Stock Quote
Royal Dutch Shell plc
BHP Group Stock Quote
BHP Group
BHP Group Stock Quote
BHP Group

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