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Does The Street Have Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Figured Out?

By Seth Jayson – Updated Apr 10, 2017 at 12:46PM

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Checking expectations

Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (NYSE: POT) is expected to report Q2 earnings on July 25. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan's revenues will contract -5.9% and EPS will shrink -19.2%.

The average estimate for revenue is $2.14 billion. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.80.

Revenue details
Last quarter, Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan recorded revenue of $1.95 billion. GAAP reported sales were 19% higher than the prior-year quarter's $1.64 billion.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Last quarter, EPS came in at $0.63. GAAP EPS of $0.63 for Q1 were 13% higher than the prior-year quarter's $0.56 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 44.4%, 190 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 37.8%, 70 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 28.5%, 140 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead

The full year's average estimate for revenue is $7.93 billion. The average EPS estimate is $2.87.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a five-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 4,763 members out of 4,934 rating the stock outperform, and 171 members rating it underperform. Among 718 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 691 give Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan a green thumbs-up, and 27 give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan is outperform, with an average price target of $46.14.

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Seth Jayson had no position in any company mentioned here at the time of publication. You can view his stock holdings here. He is co-advisor of Motley Fool Hidden Gems, which provides new small-cap ideas every month, backed by a real-money portfolio. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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