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The 1 Way These High-Yield Stocks Can Crush Investors

By Jordan Wathen – Mar 11, 2014 at 1:00AM

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Taking a look at which BDCs exit their investments at a profit. Investment yields count, but only if you get your money back in the end. It's in their exits that Main Street Capital, Ares Capital, and Triangle Capital show their quality.

High-yield business development companies, like Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC 1.65%) and American Capital Ltd. (ACAS), can make a killing investing in risky debt, but it's their equity investments that can make or break the returns.

Generally speaking, the average BDC invests the overwhelming majority (90% or more) of their assets in debt, and a small minority (roughly 10%) in equity. The general consensus is debt investments will generate current income, while irregular gains from equity investments should hopefully cover loan losses in the debt portfolio.

Looking at the exit door
Today, let's look at realized gains and losses for the BDC industry and why you should care. Realized gains and losses is income (or loss) that comes from the sale of investments above or below their original cost.

Over time, realized gains or losses have an outsized impact on a BDC's total return. Ares Capital Corporation likes to cite its positive cumulative realized gains as evidence of quality underwriting -- gains from debt and equity sales have exceeded losses from other investments over the company's history. This is what most BDCs want to see -- consistent high-yields from debt investments with any credit losses covered with other gains.

So, with that, here's a chart to compare the net realized gains or losses to total assets by year, from 2007-2013, for a number of BDCs.

You'll likely first notice the outlier: American Capital. Forced selling during the 2008 financial crisis led it to take huge losses to stay solvent. Naturally, those sales also led to incredible realized losses on debt and equity investments. Let it be a lesson to any BDC investor that a BDC needs good funding sources during good and bad economic climates. Conservative funding would have likely allowed American Capital to avoid most of its losses incurred in the 2009-2010 period.

What you should also notice, is the three best performing BDCs since 2007 have also been those which have been most consistent in posting net realized investment gains.

Ares Capital, despite being one of the largest BDCs, and having investment yields on the lower end of BDC portfolio spectrum, was the third-best performing stock, delivering total returns of 164% over the last 6 years. Ares Capital generated net realized profits in all but one year, 2009. To date, it has exited its high-yield investments at a higher price than it has paid, only adding the earnings from investment yields.

Likewise, Triangle Capital (NYSE: TCAP) and Main Street Capital (MAIN 0.26%) posted two years of net realized losses. However, these two top-performers have higher-yielding portfolios, erasing the impact of small losses during the financial crisis and weak U.S. recovery. Prospect Capital (PSEC 2.19%), which operates a higher-yield portfolio due to its subprime lenders and collateralized loan obligations, delivered second-worst total returns, in part because large realized losses dampened the effect of its higher-yield portfolio.

Bringing it together
This chart, which adds up all realized gains or losses from 2007-2013 and divides them by year-end 2013 assets really brings it all together.

Notice the top-performers, which all more than doubled their shareholders' returns, all have cumulative realized gains over the period. Triangle Capital and Main Street Capital generated 311% and 317% total return price returns over the period, respectively.

Surprised? You shouldn't be. To be fair, Prospect Capital and American Capital investors would have earned 49% and 7%, respectively, over the years studied. But this just goes to show while high-yield debt investments can deliver huge interest payments, a handful of loan losses can mute most of the return.

It also shows, if anything, the quality of the portfolio managers at Triangle Capital and Ares Capital, which posted the lowest variability in realized gains over the period.

Jordan Wathen has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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