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Why Macy's Stock Dropped 10% Last Month

By Jeremy Bowman - May 4, 2016 at 9:13AM

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Shares of the department store chain continued to struggle on industry concerns and falling sales.

What: Shares of Macy's (M -4.06%) tracked with a downward trend in the department-store industry last month, falling 10% according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence on persistent negativity and demands from activists to explore a REIT conversion. As the chart below shows, the bulk of the stock's drop came in the beginning of the month.

M Chart

M data by YCharts

So what: The venerable department-store chain may still be reeling from a weak holiday-quarter earnings report, as same-store sales plummeted during the key holiday period. 

In response to demands from activist investors, Macy's hired an executive vice president for real estate, Doug Sesler, who will work on joint ventures and other partnerships to unlock value from the company's real estate. The company recently sold the top floors of its Brooklyn location for $270 million.

Rivals including Nordstrom and J.C. Penney also fell by double digits last month as department-store chain continue to deal with challenges including e-commerce and an excess of retail space.

Now what: Macy's stock may continue to languish until the company changes the narrative, which is currently a business in retreat. The retailer will report earnings later this month, with analysts are expecting another ugly report with earnings per share down from $0.56 to $0.38 and revenue down 4%. With the bar set so low, Macy's may be able to top expectations -- but without a savvy real estate strategy or the ability to grow sales and profits, one shouldn't expect a turnaround soon.

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Stocks Mentioned

Macy's, Inc. Stock Quote
Macy's, Inc.
M
$19.38 (-4.06%) $0.82
J. C. Penney Company, Inc. Stock Quote
J. C. Penney Company, Inc.
JCPN.Q
Nordstrom, Inc. Stock Quote
Nordstrom, Inc.
JWN
$23.27 (-5.75%) $-1.42

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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