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One Fumble Won't Slow the IMAX Comeback

By Rick Munarriz – Updated Apr 6, 2017 at 3:03AM

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IMAX won't be playing the Super Bowl in Arizona, but there's a bigger game worth winning.

Folks heading into the gargantuan IMAX (NASDAQ:IMAX) theater at the Arizona Science Center on Sunday, ready to cheer on their hometown Cardinals in their first Super Bowl appearance, had better make other plans. The museum is canceling the event.

That's not the center's fault. It certainly isn't IMAX's fault, either; the push to digital projection systems was made for event-driven live programming like this. Apparently, the NFL's crackdown on large public viewings led to the center to reconsider the event.

I recommended IMAX's stock to Rule Breakers subscribers nearly four years ago, long before the digital revolution reignited interest in theatrical flicks on a super-huge screen. Back then, my buy thesis hinged on having movie studios release higher-res versions of their films on IMAX, and on getting theater owners to sign deals with IMAX to increase their ticketing revenue.

Those things happened, and they're still happening, but these days, IMAX is getting a push from the migration to digital -- as well as from its own decision to go the joint-venture route with leading exhibitors including AMC and Regal (NYSE:RGC), in an attempt to ramp up its theater base quickly.

The stock has more than doubled since bottoming out two months ago. It got hammered under the weight of the company's pesky debt and spotty profitability. The balance sheet still isn't perfect, but at least the company is moving in the right direction on the income statement. Co-CEO Richard Gelfond was on Fox this week, discussing the shift to digital. He sees the company adding 100 screens this year and turning a profit.

Analysts are all over the map, with the four major Wall Street firms expecting the company to report anything between a $0.44-per-share profit  and a $0.20-per-share deficit in 2009. The huge variance should lead investors to expect a great deal of volatility until IMAX shows its true colors.

Studios are starting to believe in IMAX in a big way. A couple of years ago, most IMAX theatrical releases were the handiwork of Time Warner (NYSE:TWX), which is a good friend to have, given the success of the studio's Harry Potter flicks and last year's Dark Knight blockbuster. But the new slate mixes Time Warner's major releases with hyped features from studios such as DreamWorks Animation (NYSE:DWA) and Viacom (NYSE:VIA).

So let Super Sunday start without IMAX. It has its eyes on a bigger game. The cost efficiencies of digital delivery and a larger theater base may help make this the ultimate Rule Breakers recommendation.

Other hits to catch on your not-so-big screen:

IMAX is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers pick. DreamWorks Animation SKG is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendation. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz is a movie buff but owns no shares in any of the companies in this story, save for DreamWorks Animation. He is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.  

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Stocks Mentioned

IMAX Corporation Stock Quote
IMAX Corporation
IMAX
$13.87 (0.73%) $0.10
Time Warner Inc. Stock Quote
Time Warner Inc.
TWX
DreamWorks Animation SKG Inc. Stock Quote
DreamWorks Animation SKG Inc.
DWA

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