The development-stage drugmaker said yesterday that it was ending its year-and-a-half-old partnership with Bristol-Myers Squibb
Exelixis can afford to pay for the development on its own for some time. As part of the dissolution of the partnership, Bristol-Myers is giving Exelixis $17 million, which will pay for about three months of Bristol-Myers' share of the development costs. All told, the added costs will be less than $20 million this year, and about $75 million next year.
But Exelixis might not let it go that far; out-licensing the drug again seems to be in the cards, although the timing of finding another partner is a little less clear. The drugmaker will present phase 2 data in November, and the thyroid cancer trial will read out in the first half of next year. Exelixis could roll the dice, hoping they'll come out positive, which would increase the terms it could get for the drug.
Whether Exelixis is a bad-news buy depends a lot on why the companies parted ways. Exelixis claims the problem is a difference in priorities; Bristol-Myers has other oncology drugs hitting high notes, but for Exelixis, XL184 is the company's best hope at turning profitable.
On the flip side, Bristol is the second company to give up on XL184; GlaxoSmithKline
Bristol-Myers backing out isn't good news, but it isn't a guarantee that the drug will fail, either. As tyrekefan reminded Rule Breakers' members on the newsletter's discussion boards, Johnson & Johnson
Exelixis isn't without risk -- for every Amylin, there's a dropped drug that's faded into oblivion. But with an enterprise value of about $340 million, not including cash changes since the end of the first quarter, Exelixis doesn't look like a particularly expensive bet.
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Fool contributor Brian Orelli, Ph.D., doesn't own shares of any company mentioned in this article. Johnson & Johnson is a Motley Fool Income Investor selection and the Motley Fool Options recommended buying calls on the stock. The Fool owns shares of Exelixis and GlaxoSmithKline and has a disclosure policy.