Is the leading online retailer catching a cold just before the critical holiday shopping season? Amazon
While earnings more than tripled to $0.13 a share and net sales came in at a robust $1.46 billion showing, the market was hoping for a little more. When Amazon initiated its glimpse into 2005 by pegging the top line to come in between $7.4 billion and $8.15 billion, the market was hoping for a lot more.
This doesn't mean that Amazon is bringing on the heartbreak. The stock has soared by 158% since being singled out in our Motley Fool Stock Advisor newsletter two years ago, and no one is suggesting that gravity will wipe out those meaty gains. In fact, the same Amazon that some pundits figured would be left for dead when the dot-com bubble burst is actually operating as efficiently as ever. Over the past four quarters, the company has produced free cash flow of $420 million, a 76% improvement over this time last year.
However, Amazon has commanded a market premium due to its stellar growth in the past and that seems to be slowing. It is looking for net sales next year to grow by as little as 7% -- yes, 7% -- to as much as 22%. Is an Amazon that may potentially grow the top line in the single digits really worth a share price that is three times net sales? You can scoop up offline favorites like Wal-Mart
That is why the upcoming holiday season is so important to Amazon. If the company is going to take a hit in growing operating profits stateside like it did this past quarter for the sake of expanding its consumer-friendly shipping policies, it better be able to offset that with some heartier sales growth. Santa or Grinch, let's hope that Amazon's heart over the holidays is not three sizes too small.Has Amazon matured? Have its shares become overpriced, or do you think greater returns are yet to come? All this and more in the Amazon discussion board. Only on Fool.com.
Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz has been an Amazon customer since the 1990s, but he does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned in this story.