Jingle, jingle, what's that sound? With Christmas come and gone, there's only one thing it can be: coin-changer extraordinaire Coinstar
Wall Street Wisdom:
- General consensus. Only six analysts track the fortunes of this Motley Fool Hidden Gems pick. Four of them rate the company a hold; the other two vote buy.
- Revenues. Analysts believe that Coinstar's revenues grew year over year in Q4 2005, up 14% to $125.19 million.
- Earnings. Analysts expect Coinstar to report a $0.03 decline in quarterly profits from last year's $0.26.
Margin watch:
The trend in Coinstar's margins isn't pretty. Eighteen months ago, the firm kept more than half its revenues as gross profits; today, it keeps less than one-third. Operating margins have fallen by 40%, and the net has been cut by more than half.
Margins % |
6/04 |
9/04 |
12/04 |
3/05 |
6/05 |
9/05 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gross |
54.2 |
44.9 |
39.1 |
35.2 |
32.6 |
32.7 |
Op. |
17.6 |
14 |
12.7 |
11.3 |
10.6 |
10.6 |
Net |
11 |
8.3 |
6.6 |
5.5 |
4.9 |
4.8 |
Foolish forensics:
What's behind the slide? In a word: growth. Coinstar acquired American Coin Merchandising (ACMI) during its September 2004 quarter, more than doubling its revenues in one fell swoop -- but more than tripling its cost of goods sold at the same time. Ever since it brought ACMI into the fold, Coinstar's profitability has been on the decline.
Foolish lookout:
Which sets this Fool to thinking: In December, Coinstar expanded further by buying coin-op DVD-vendor Redbox from McDonald's
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Fool contributor Rich Smith does not own shares of any company named above.