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This Stock Is Cheap -- or Is It?

By Tim Hanson – Updated Nov 15, 2016 at 12:07AM

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What stock price does and does not tell you about a company.

CVS Caremark (NYSE:CVS) is one of the truly remarkable success stories of the past two decades. Back in May 1987, CVS was still a small company that had not yet scratched the surface of its potential. Its shares traded for just $2.83. After years of growth, the stock now trades for nearly $40.

That 1,300% gain illustrates the profit potential of investing in promising small companies. It also goes to show that if you want CVS-like gains, you need to look for stocks trading for $2 or $3 -- or definitely below $5. Just take a look at this list of winners since 1990 and their stock price back then:

Company

Gain Since May 29, 1990

Stock Price on May 29, 1990

Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO)

31,800%

$0.08

Best Buy (NYSE:BBY)

12,173%

$0.38

Nike (NYSE:NKE)

1,344%

$3.76

Sysco (NYSE:SYY)

857%

$3.46

Say it with us: No, no, no!
Here's where we pull back the curtain: All of those Jan. 2, 1990, prices are adjusted for stock splits and -- in some cases -- dividends. While CVS was a small company back in 1990, it still traded for $43 per share. Cisco traded for $24.50, Nike for $73, Best Buy for $10, and Sysco for $35.

So we hope we've done a little bit of myth-busting here. Namely:

  1. Lower-priced stocks do not go up any faster than higher-priced stocks.
  2. Lower-priced stocks are not necessarily cheaper than higher-priced stocks.
  3. Lower-priced stocks are not necessarily smaller than higher-priced stocks.

By itself, a stock's price cannot tell you anything about the value of the underlying company or its investment potential.

That's why Middleby, a stock that's returned more than 550% for subscribers to our Motley Fool Hidden Gems small-cap service, can remain a promising $1 billion small cap even though it trades for north of $120 per share. It's also why analysts see limited growth for $18 billion Sun Microsystems even as it trades for $5.

You cannot beat this price
Myths about the meaning of stock prices abound, and catering to those myths may be one of the reasons Middleby's board is considering splitting the company's shares (or so we've been told). We encourage Middleby's leaders to stop worrying about the stock price, save the time and money required to file the necessary stock-splitting paperwork, and instead continue to focus on allocating capital efficiently and growing the business for the long term.

That's what shareholders should care about. If the business is succeeding, the stock will follow -- regardless of whether it's starting from $5, $50, or $500.

The Foolish bottom line
We readily admit that small companies, as measured by market caps of $2 billion or less, are for many reasons likely to offer better returns than large companies going forward. So, if you're looking for stocks with the most potential for outsized returns, start with small caps -- you'll find that a more productive starting point than "low-priced stocks."

Also look for key traits of the market's biggest successes:

  1. Cheap valuations relative to a company's earnings or cash flows.
  2. Tenured managers who own a significant number of shares.
  3. Growing operations in a profitable niche.

And if you can find a company that meets these criteria, it's worthy of your research no matter the stock price. After all, this simple framework is often how we start our research at Motley Fool Hidden Gems. It helped us find Middleby and 50 more recommendations that are beating the market by 35 percentage points on average.

If you'd like to take a look at the stocks we're recommending today, click here to try Hidden Gems free for 30 days. There is no obligation to subscribe, and you might just find a bargain trading for $50 per share.

This article was originally published on Feb. 13, 2007. It has been updated.

Tim Hanson does not own shares of any company mentioned; Brian Richards doesn't own any either. Best Buy is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendation. Sysco is an Income Investor pick. The Fool's disclosure policy would like to remind you that when in Rome, price is what you pay.

None

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Stocks Mentioned

Best Buy Co., Inc. Stock Quote
Best Buy Co., Inc.
BBY
$65.32 (-5.03%) $-3.46
Cisco Systems, Inc. Stock Quote
Cisco Systems, Inc.
CSCO
$40.58 (-0.20%) $0.08
CVS Health Corporation Stock Quote
CVS Health Corporation
CVS
$97.74 (-0.62%) $0.61
NIKE, Inc. Stock Quote
NIKE, Inc.
NKE
$96.06 (-0.99%) $0.96
Sysco Corporation Stock Quote
Sysco Corporation
SYY
$73.62 (-1.74%) $-1.30

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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