Recent volatility aside, let's face the facts: We're actually in the fifth year of a solid bull run, a lengthy stretch of time by historical standards. Indeed, as I suggest here, at least one market maven worth taking seriously thinks we're in the midst of a "global bubble," and no wonder: The multiples of some hot properties do indeed appear stretched.
Would you buy Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), or EMC (NYSE:EMC) at more than 30 times earnings, for example? How 'bout Schlumberger (NYSE:SLB) or Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) at their S&P-surpassing premiums?
Listen to a luminary
As investing legend Peter Lynch explains in One Up on Wall Street, one way of thinking of a company's P/E is as "the number of years it will take the company to earn back the amount of your initial investment." That's a sobering thought, but not to worry: There are still plenty of bargains to be found.
Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY), for example, currently clocks in with a P/E below the broader market's. Thing is, for the 10 years that ended with July 2007, the company spanked the S&P, delivering an annualized gain of 20.3%. Not coincidentally, the firm boasts an impressive track record of cranking out free cash flow (FCF).
FC what?
Free cash flow is the number you arrive at when you add up a company's cash from operations and subtract its capital expenditures. As measurements of fiscal health go, it's one of the more reliable -- certainly more so than earnings, which, alas, are susceptible to all manner of accounting gimmickry.
Not coincidentally, FCF is one of the main metrics my colleague Philip Durell works with at the Fool's Inside Value investing service. Philip is on the lookout for solid but "deeply undervalued" companies, firms with discounted valuations that are loaded up with market-beating potential. And on that front, so far, so good: Taken collectively, his list of recommendations has beaten the market by roughly seven percentage points since inception.
If you'd like to learn more about value investing -- or if you just want to sneak a peek at the stocks that have made the Inside Value cut -- click here and a risk-free guest pass is yours for the taking. You'll have 30 days to peruse a service designed to show you how to put a battle-tested piece of investment advice -- buy low, sell high -- to use in your own portfolio without muss or fuss.
This article was originally published on Feb. 17, 2007. It has been updated.
Shannon Zimmerman runs point on the Fool's Champion Funds newsletter service and co-advises Motley Fool Green Light with his pal Dayana Yochim. At the time of publication, he didn't own any of the securities mentioned above. Intel is an Inside Value recommendation. eBay is a Stock Advisor pick. You can check out the Fool's strict disclosure policy right here.
