Newsflash for those who think that tech is the new banking: IBM (NYSE:IBM) earlier today pre-announced earnings that handily beat estimates.

Third-quarter profits rose 22% to $2.05 per share, easily besting the consensus estimate of $2.02 per share. Revenue, on the other hand, was lighter than expected at $25.3 billion, up 5% year over year, and 3% of which was attributable to currency effects. Analysts had projected $26.5 billion in Q3 revenue.

A Goldman Sachs analyst said in a report that the shortfall is telling, indicative of a slowdown "in virtually all of tech's key end markets." Presumably, he's referring to the same slowdown that sunk shares of SAP (NYSE:SAP) and Oracle (NASDAQ:ORCL) earlier this week.

But should we really be so dismissive of IBM's quarter? Our 115,000-plus Motley Fool CAPS community isn't so sure:



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Data current as of Oct. 9, 2008.

And yet there are detractors. CAPS All-Star jwfoster in February wrote:

Pre-margined shares with a debt financed buyback. This place is a financial engineering fiasco in the making. Not a well run technology company. With all the debt being piled on to buy shares to marginally up guidance this company is a huge accident waiting to happen.

An accident waiting to happen? Wow. I couldn't disagree more. It'd be one thing if IBM was new at this, but Big Blue has been carrying debt on its books for the last decade. Most of it is financing; debt related to software and equipment purchases by customers.

Remember, too, that IBM traditionally produces superior returns on invested capital:



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Data current as of Oct. 9, 2008.

Value is created when the returns on capital exceed the cost of capital. IBM's debt costs range from as little as 1.50% to as much as 8.375%, but nowhere near double digits. The implication? Big Blue is a value creator.

It's fair to ask how IBM is managing its debt and cash flow in the midst of a credit crunch that's forced AAA-rated debtors like General Electric (NYSE:GE) to raise capital. It's also fair to ask whether lower-than-expected revenue means that large capital spending projects are being pushed back. But it's pure panic to assume that an amorphous "tech slowdown" will engulf a company that just reported higher margins and improving free cash flow.

Wake up, Wall Street.

Get your clicks with related Foolishness:

  • IBM is winning the server war against Dell (NASDAQ:DELL) and Hewlett-Packard (NYSE:HPQ).
  • Want to be green? Go with Big Blue.
  • IBM is so much cheaper than you think.

Fool contributor Tim Beyers owned shares of IBM and Oracle at the time of publication. He hunts for the best of tech as a member of the Motley Fool Rule Breakers team. Here's how to try this market-beating service free for 30 days. Get access to all of Tim's Foolish writings here.

Dell is an Inside Value pick. The Motley Fool's disclosure policy is worried but not panicked.