It takes much more than a little bump in the road to shake Cisco Systems
You could spin Cisco's third-quarter numbers either way, of course -- lies, damn lies, statistics, and financial reports, you know.
Facts |
Bear Case |
Bull Case |
---|---|---|
Sales dipped 17% year over year to $8.2 billion |
That's down, dude! |
Still better than Intel's |
GAAP EPS slipped 21% to $0.23 per share |
Down, down, down. |
Yeah, but peers like Microsoft |
Cash flow from operations: down 33% to $2.0 billion |
D-O-W-N! |
You're complaining about $2 billion in quarterly cash creation? Get real. |
So yeah, the economy is hurting Cisco a bit at the moment. And while Intel and Microsoft are doing worse, other quasi-rivals like IBM
That's a bigger cash hoard than Microsoft's $25 billion of cash equivalents, fatter than Apple's
So when Cisco CEO John Chambers says that he's positioned to benefit from this recession, I believe him. Cisco has the raw financial muscle to do whatever it darn well pleases in response to any downturn, without having to worry about financial stability or putting short-term goals ahead of long-term strategy.
"Cisco has always believed that disruption creates opportunity," Chambers said in last night's analyst call. And he sees huge disruptive forces in virtualization, in video conferencing, and in bringing network management and server systems closer together. "Even if the market slows we don't see this changing our long-term growth opportunities ... We plan to aggressively invest in new and adjacent markets for the longer term."
So Chambers stays the course. If I had all of his resources, I'd do the same. It's a great recipe for long-term growth that should reward patient investors richly indeed.
Further Foolishness: