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Here's How Dr Pepper Snapple Group May Be Failing You

By Seth Jayson – Updated Apr 7, 2017 at 12:13AM

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Keep your eye on margins.

Margins matter. The more Dr Pepper Snapple Group (NYSE: DPS) keeps of each buck it earns in revenue, the more money it has to invest in growth, fund new strategic plans, or (gasp!) distribute to shareholders. Healthy margins often separate pretenders from the best stocks in the market. That's why I check on my holdings' margins at least once a quarter. I'm looking for the absolute numbers, comparisons to sector peers and competitors, and any trend that may tell me how strong Dr Pepper Snapple Group's competitive position could be.

Here's the current margin snapshot for Dr Pepper Snapple Group and some of its sector and industry peers and direct competitors.

Company

TTM Gross Margin

TTM Operating Margin

TTM Net Margin

Dr Pepper Snapple

60.3%

17.4%

9.5%

FEMSA (NYSE: FMX)

45.7%

13.6%

19.2%

National Beverage (Nasdaq: FIZZ)

35.3%

9.7%

6.2%

Cott (NYSE: COT)

15.4%

6.6%

3.4%

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Unfortunately, that table doesn't tell us much about where Dr Pepper Snapple has been, or where it's going. A company with rising gross and operating margins often fuels its growth by increasing demand for its products. If it sells more units while keeping costs in check, its profitability increases. Conversely, a company with gross margins that inch downward over time is often losing out to competition, and possibly engaging in a race to the bottom on prices. If it can't make up for this problem by cutting costs -- and most companies can't -- then both the business and its shares face a decidedly bleak outlook.

Of course, over the short term, the kind of economic shocks we recently experienced can drastically affect a company's profitability. That's why I like to look at five fiscal years' worth of margins, along with the results for the trailing 12 months (TTM), the last fiscal year, and last fiscal quarter (LFQ). You can't always reach a hard conclusion about your company's health, but you can better understand what to expect, and what to watch.

Here's the margin picture for Dr Pepper Snapple over the past few years.


Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's. Dollar amounts in millions. FY= fiscal year. TTM = trailing 12 months.

(Because of seasonality in some businesses, the numbers for the last period on the right -- the TTM figures -- aren't always comparable to the FY results preceding them.)

Here's how the stats break down:

  • Over the past five years, gross margin peaked at 65.1% and averaged 58.5%. Operating margin peaked at 27.5% and averaged 20.6%. Net margin peaked at 14.9% and averaged 7.8%.
  • TTM gross margin is 60.3%, 180 basis points better than the five-year average. TTM operating margin is 17.4%, 320 basis points worse than the five-year average. TTM net margin is 9.5%, 170 basis points better than the five-year average.

With recent TTM operating margins below historical averages, Dr Pepper Snapple has some work to do.

If you take the time to read past the headlines and crack a filing now and then, you're probably ahead of 95% of the market's individual investors. To stay ahead, learn more about how I use analysis like this to help me uncover the best returns in the stock market. Got an opinion on the margins at Dr Pepper Snapple Group? Let us know in the comments below.

Seth Jayson owned shares of the following at the time of publication: FEMSA. You can view his stock holdings here. He is co-advisor of Motley Fool Hidden Gems, which provides new small-cap ideas every month, backed by a real-money portfolio. FEMSA is a Motley Fool Global Gains recommendation. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Stocks Mentioned

Dr Pepper Snapple Group, Inc. Stock Quote
Dr Pepper Snapple Group, Inc.
DPS
Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. Stock Quote
Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V.
FMX
$59.98 (-2.65%) $-1.63
National Beverage Corp. Stock Quote
National Beverage Corp.
FIZZ
$40.39 (-0.42%) $0.17
Primo Water Corporation Stock Quote
Primo Water Corporation
PRMW
$12.66 (0.08%) $0.01

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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