Just 23% of respondents strongly agreed that the COLA was enough, and 24% somewhat agreed that it was sufficient.
Motley Fool senior retirement advisor and financial planning expert Robert Brokamp, CFP®, sees two factors that make it unlikely that retirees see the 2.8% COLA as sufficient. “First, inflation has been ticking up recently," Brokamp said, referencing recent inflation reports that have measured 12-month changes over 2.8%.
The second factor has to do with the fact that Medicare premiums – which many retirees pay and are subtracted from Social Security benefits – are projected to increase at a higher rate than the COLA.
“Currently, premiums for Part B of Medicare are projected to go up more than 11% in 2026. So that will take out a bigger chunk of a beneficiary’s monthly check,” Brokamp said.
Respondents aged 70 or older are more likely to view the most recent COLA as not enough: 82% of those older respondents disagreed that the COLA is enough to keep up with prices compared to 49% of those under 70.
The more respondents rely on Social Security, the less likely they are to view the COLA as sufficient. For example, 61% of those who exclusively or heavily rely on Social Security see the COLA as insufficient. Among respondents who rely on Social Security slightly or moderately, 42% see the COLA as not enough.
68% say the Social Security COLA won’t meaningfully cover essential expenses
The Social Security COLA is tied to the rate of inflation, but most respondents say it won’t meaningfully help their ability to pay for essential living expenses. According to our survey, 16% of beneficiaries say it won’t help them at all, and 52% say it will help very little. Just 11% say it will help significantly, and the remaining 21% say the adjustment will help moderately.
This may be a reflection of inflation remaining elevated for multiple years in a row while retirement income and spending haven’t kept pace. Americans aged 65 and older spent $5,007 per month, on average, in 2023, which is more than $3,000 more than the average Social Security check.
An additional factor is that the Consumer Price Index is based on a set of goods and services that may not reflect what retirees are spending their money on, Brokamp said.
“An individual’s experience of inflation will depend on that individual’s unique budget – which may be quite different from the items in the CPI,” Brokamp said. “For example, based on the August inflation report, the cost of food at home rose 2.7% year over year, while the price of dining out increased 3.9%. So those who spend more time at restaurants may be more likely to feel that the Social Security COLA is not keeping up.”
64% want COLA of 6% or more; 31% call for 10%+
Currently, 64% of Social Security beneficiaries surveyed by The Motley Fool believe that in order to keep up with the cost of living, the Social Security COLA should be 6% or more. Nearly a third – 31% – think the COLA should be 10% or more.
The Social Security COLA has only exceeded 6% once since 1984. That was in 2023, when beneficiaries received an 8.7% bump.
The chart below shows the Social Security COLA since 1975.