Delta Air Lines (DAL -0.25%), a U.S.-based airline renowned for its extensive global network, released its earnings for the fourth quarter of 2024 on January 10, 2025.
The company's robust performance beat analyst expectations, posting non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $1.85 compared to the anticipated $1.76. Delta's revenue of $14.4 billion also outpaced estimates of $14.2 billion.
Overall, the quarter showcased strong financial results, albeit with areas of concern such as operational disruptions and rising costs that could affect future performance.
| Metric | Q4 2024 | Q4 Estimate | Q4 2023 | Y/Y Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS (Non-GAAP) | $1.85 | $1.76 | $1.28 | +44.5% |
| Revenue (Non-GAAP) | $14.4B | $14.2B | $13.7B | +5.7% |
| Operating Margin (Non-GAAP) | 12.0% | N/A | 9.7% | +2.3 pp |
| Free Cash Flow | $678M | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Source: SEC filings. Analyst estimates for the quarter provided by FactSet. PP = percentage points.
Understanding Delta Air Lines' Business
Delta Air Lines operates as one of the largest airlines globally, transporting passengers and cargo across six continents. Its diverse revenue streams include ticket sales, loyalty programs, and cargo operations. The company's strategy centers on operational efficiency, customer loyalty, and fleet modernization. Delta's commitment to reliability and on-time performance has been a key differentiator, earning it recognition as the most on-time airline in North America for four consecutive years.
In recent years, Delta has focused on revenue growth through premium offerings and strategic partnerships. These include collaborations with American Express and international airlines like Air France-KLM and Korean Air. Operational reliability, an extensive global network, and its SkyMiles loyalty program are critical success factors contributing to Delta's market position and financial results.
Quarter Highlights: Achievements and Challenges
The December quarter was marked by significant financial achievements for Delta. The airline posted $15.6 billion in operating revenue, with a non-GAAP operating margin of 12.0%. This was an improvement from the 9.7% margin a year earlier. Delta reported a 5.7% rise in operating revenue year-over-year, driven by its premium product growth and increased loyalty program engagement, which contributed to the company's revenue mix.
Despite a favorable financial performance, non-fuel unit costs raised concern, growing by 3.3% from the previous year. Operational disruptions, such as an outage caused by data security specialist CrowdStrike, negatively impacted Delta's profitability in the third quarter, costing $0.45 per share. Despite these challenges, Delta generated $678 million in free cash flow and invested $5 billion back into the business over the year.
The airline has continued to enhance its fleet and customer experience. It introduced new lounges at JFK and LAX airports, expanded Wi-Fi capabilities, and brought cutting-edge aircraft into service, focusing on fuel efficiency. Such investments support Delta's long-term strategy for sustainable growth and market competitiveness.
Delta's diversified revenue streams helped propel its performance, with international passenger revenue increasing by 6% year-over-year, particularly in the Transatlantic region. The partnership with American Express continues to elevate its financial results, with remuneration growing by 14%. However, the airline recognizes the need for cost management improvements to mitigate future financial risks.
Looking Ahead
Delta's 2025 outlook is optimistic, with the airline forecasting earnings above $7.35 per share and free cash flow exceeding $4 billion. For the March quarter, Delta anticipates year-over-year revenue growth of 7% to 9%, with anticipated EPS between $0.70 and $1.00. The management is confident in its strategic positioning to deliver significant financial results, projecting a pre-tax income greater than $6 billion in its 100th year.
Investors should watch Delta's operational and financial strategies around non-fuel unit costs and revenue diversification. Delta's commitment to improving customer experience and maintaining operational excellence will be crucial to navigating any future market challenges and sustaining growth.
