Aerovironment Inc (AVAV) Q4 2021 Earnings Call Transcript

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Aerovironment Inc (AVAV 2.26%)
Q4 2021 Earnings Call
Jun 29, 2021, 4:30 p.m. ET

Contents:

• Prepared Remarks
• Questions and Answers
• Call Participants

Prepared Remarks:

Steven Gitlin -- Chief Marketing Officer, Vice President Investor Relations

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen and welcome to AeroVironment's Fourth Quarter and Full Fiscal Year 2021 Earnings Call. This is Stephen Gitlin, Chief Marketing Officer and Vice President of Investor Relations for AeroVironment. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. Before we begin, please note that on this call certain information presented contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements include without limitation any statement that may predict, forecast, indicate or imply future results, performance or achievements and may contain words such as believe, anticipate, expect, estimate, intend, project, plan, or words or phrases with similar meaning.

Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, forecasts and assumptions that involve risks and uncertainties including but not limited to economic, competitive, governmental and technological factors outside of our control that may cause our business strategy or actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements. For further information on these risks we encourage you to review the risk factors discussed in AeroVironment's periodic reports on Form 10-K and Form 10-Q filed with the SEC and the Form 8-K filed today with the SEC along with the associated earnings release and the Safe Harbor statement contained therein.

This afternoon, we also filed a slide presentation with our earnings release and posted a presentation on our website at avinc.com in the Events & Presentation section. The content of this conference call contains time sensitive information that is accurate only as of today June 29, 2021. The company undertakes no obligation to make any revision to any forward-looking statements contained in our remarks today or to update them to reflect the events or circumstances occurring after this conference call. Joining me today from AeroVironment are President and Chief Executive Officer Mr. Wahid Nawabi; and Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Mr. Kevin McDonnell.

We will now begin with remarks from Wahid Nawabi. Wahid?

Wahid Nawabi -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Steve. Welcome to our fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2021 earnings conference call. On today's call, I will emphasize an important message included on slide number 3 of our earnings presentation. That message is this: AeroVironment again delivered on its financial, operational, and strategic commitments despite the continued macroeconomic challenges. In fiscal year 2021, we applied AeroVironment's unique value proposition of innovation, customer intimacy and agility to help our customers succeed. We're proud to have delivered a fourth consecutive year of profitable revenue growth in the midst of the global pandemic.

We deployed our balance sheet to expand our solutions portfolio and the value of our addressable markets. We successfully executed our growth strategy and created significant value for our three key stakeholders: our customers, employees, and shareholders. And the demand and preference for our innovative, reliable, and battle-proven solutions remains strong, reflecting our continued global leadership and our chosen market segments. Today, I will summarize our fiscal year 2021 performance and discuss our achievements during the fourth quarter and full fiscal year. Next, Kevin will provide a more detailed summary of our financial performance in the year.

And then I will follow up with a brief discussion on our goals for fiscal year 2022 before Kevin, Steve, and I, take your questions. Now, let's move to our fiscal year highlights included on slide number 4. Our team has done an incredible job of staying focused on serving our customers and delivering profitable top line growth, despite a full fiscal year operating during the COVID-19 pandemic. We produced record fourth quarter revenue of $136 million and record full year revenue of $395 million. Full fiscal year revenue increased by 7.5%, including contributions from the Arcturus UAV and ISG businesses acquired in the year, which I will discuss in a few moments.

While we were able to manage the majority of supply chain issues during the pandemic, some isolated issues prevented us from achieving our revenue objectives for the fourth quarter and the full fiscal year, leaving us slightly below our guidance range. Full year diluted earnings per share were $0.96 compared to $1.72 for fiscal year 2020. Fiscal year 2021 included an impairment of $8.4 million related to HAPSMobile's investments in Loon LLC and $9.3 million for legal accrual related to our former EES business. Non-GAAP earnings per diluted share for fiscal year 2021 were $2.10 compared to $1.84 for fiscal year 2020, an increase of 14%. Record fiscal year ending funded backlog of $211.8 million rose slightly from the prior year.

I commend the entire AeroVironment team for adapting to new ways of working during the pandemic and achieving these solid financial results, while also acquiring three new businesses and successfully integrating them into our portfolio. Now, I will review our business achievements in fiscal year 2021. First and foremost, in fiscal year 2021, we significantly reshaped our portfolio by acquiring Arcturus UAV, Telerob and Progeny Systems ISG. These acquisitions further expand our offering to provide our customers a portfolio of intelligent multi-domain robotic systems. Beyond defense markets, we're also able to deliver valuable solutions combining air and ground robotics systems to first responders, infrastructure managers, homeland security personnel and others.

Supporting the broader adoption of UAS for commercial use, we were recently appointed to an FAA Advisory Rulemaking Committee focused on beyond visual line of sight operations. This ensures we remain in a position to provide recommendations that drive adoption of UAS in the United States. As a result of our strategic acquisitions we now organize our portfolio in six product lines, which I will now describe. First, our small Unmanned Aircraft Systems product line represented 60% of total revenue in the fiscal year or $236 million. We continue to secure new procurements and support awards for U.S. and some of our more than 50 international allied customers, reflecting our continued global leadership in this category.

During the fiscal year we received a number of contract awards that included more than $20 million from the U.S. Army for Raven radio frequency modification and a number of procurement awards from international allies for Raven and Puma and for support services. In total, our small UAS product line generated approximately $111 million in international revenue during the year, a 6% increase over fiscal year 2020. Second, our new Medium UAS product line is the result of our acquisition of our Arcturus UAV, a provider of Group 2 and 3 UAS and services. This transaction closed in our fourth quarter and the product line contributed 4% or $16 million of full fiscal year revenue.

Our MUAS product line addresses a market segment that is even larger than the Small UAS opportunity and the team continues to support our USSOCOM customer on its MEUAS IV services contract. As a reminder, under this contract, AeroVironment provides ISR services to our customer at their overseas bases. This is a contractor-owned, contractor-operated or COCO business model in which our personnel operate our JUMP 20 VTOL fixed wing hybrid systems and provide customers with the actionable intelligence they generate. During the fiscal year, we also secured an extension award for one of the customer locations and are gaining share in this program, reflecting our strong operational performance and value proposition.

Our JUMP 20 system is also a leading candidate for the U.S. Army's Future Tactical UAS or after FTUAS program. In February, we participated in the Army's FTUAS Rodeo Showcase and successfully demonstrated the advanced capabilities of the JUMP 20 to Army officials. We remain confident in our positioning for the FTUAS program and expect the customer to announce prototype awards in calendar year 2022 and procurement awards as soon as government fiscal year 2023. Third, our tactical missile systems product line represented 22% of fiscal year 2021 revenue or $87 million. During the fiscal year, we secured a new Switchblade 300 procurement award of $45 million under the US Army's $146 million LMAMS contract, and a separately funded logistics support award worth up to $41 million over three years for that program.

Importantly, the U.S. government granted its first export approval for Switchblade 300 procurement by an allied nation, an order we expect to deliver before the end of fiscal year 2022. We continue to work with additional allied customers who are interested in Switchblade 300's unique capabilities. During the fiscal year, we also introduced the Switchblade 600. The USSOCOM awarded AeroVironment a $26 million contract for Switchblade 600 in April. This award is for integration of Switchblade 600 into specialized naval vessels, highlighting the multi-domain capabilities of this unique solution. While we do not win the Marine Corps OPF-M Phase II RDT&E award, we are continuing to track and pursue this and other U.S. DoD programs.

Additionally, we will be delivering Switchblade 600 units this fiscal year to another customer who continues to move forward with low-rate initial production and operational deployment of this capability. We're confident in our potential to continue to grow and succeed across our portfolio. And adding to the multi-domain applications for our TMS product line, the U.S. Navy announced their intent to order up to 120 of our Blackwing Reconnaissance Systems for the Submarine-Launched Unmanned Aerial and Systems or SLUAS program as part of its ongoing effort to adopt Blackwing across its submarine fleet. In other platform integration opportunities, we continue to work with General Dynamics Land Systems on the integration of Small UAS and Switchblade into their next-generation armored vehicles.

The recent conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia highlighted the game-changing capability of Armed UAS and loitering missiles to neutralize traditional armored assets. AeroVironment remains at the forefront of this destructive capability and stands ready to support our military and our allies with patented battle-proven, loitering missile solutions. Fourth, our new Unmanned Ground Vehicles or UGV product line represents Telerob, the German leader in ground robotic solutions that we acquired in early May. Since we have not closed the transaction prior to the end of our fiscal year 2021, we're not reporting Telerob's financial results for the fiscal year.

We retained all Telerob employees including their leadership team and we're actively pursuing a number of new programs and cross-selling opportunities in the U.S. and internationally. We're still waiting for the U.S. Air Force to announce a decision on its large EOD robotics contract. Fifth, our HAPS product line represented 11% of fiscal year 2021 revenue or $42 million. We recently entered into a new five-year master, design and development agreement with SoftBank to transition to the next phase of solar HAPS development and build a third aircraft that will benefit from the learning gain in our five successful test flights. Under this new agreement, AeroVironment received a new $52.1 million order to continue our work on the program.

We also received an additional $4.7 million order related to the completion of the previous design, development agreement. We've made tremendous progress on this potentially transformative development program. In less than three years, we designed the Sunglider Solar HAPS, established an innovation center and flight test facility, produced two Sunglider Solar HAPS aircraft, conducted five successful low and high altitude test flights, and demonstrated broadband LTE communication from the stratosphere. We remain committed to creating value in our HAPS product line and are confident that our recent advancements represent an important step toward the ultimate commercialization of solar HAPS technology for global connectivity.

In our sixth product line, MacCready Works Advanced Solutions expanded its capabilities with the acquisition of the Progeny Systems' ISG team, a leader in the development of artificial intelligence enabled computer vision, machine learning and perceptive autonomy technologies. We plan to introduce new AI capabilities into our Small UAS product line this fiscal year with a roadmap for continued enhancements into the future. Also part of MacCready Works, we recently celebrated the historic and highly successful flights of the Mars Ingenuity Helicopter, much of which our team designed and built for JPL and NASA.

With eight flights completed, JPL has transitioned Ingenuity from a technology demonstration to an operational demonstration. The achievements of Ingenuity speak not only to the ability of our team to develop first of their kind robotic systems for the most extreme environments but also highlight our culture of partnering with our customers and suppliers to achieve incredible results. We look forward to continued success with Ingenuity on Mars as well as supporting emerging opportunities and the new category of robotic aircraft for planetary exploration.

Beyond the business achievements we've made in our six product lines, we have also focused on the diversity of our team and have instituted programs aimed at furthering our culture of inclusion for all team members. Our Diversity and Inclusion Committee has established a series of programs designed to raise awareness of critical issues and implicit biases. Our recruiting team is working with organizations that help us reach more underserved populations including minority serving institutions and minority professional organizations. We're focused on finding the best team members based on their skills, experience, and ability to live our values, purpose, and promise while contributing to our customer success and to AeroVironment's growth.

Now, I will turn the call over to Kevin McDonnell for a summary of the quarter and full year financials. Kevin?

Kevin McDonnell -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Wahid. Today, I'll be reviewing the highlights of our fourth quarter and full-year financial performance. I'll be referring to both our press release and earnings presentation available on our website. Revenue for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021 was $136 million, a slight increase from the fourth quarter FY '20 revenue of $135.2 million. Slide 6 of the earnings presentation provides a breakdown of revenue by product line to the quarter. The headlines here are that the newly acquired Arcturus business which now becomes our Medium UAS product line contributed approximately $6 million of revenue to the quarter and the year.

This additional revenue was more than offset by a $16.3 million decline in our HAPS revenue versus last year's fourth quarter, which included the build out of the joint ventures flight test facility. TMS revenue was strong in the quarter at $39.2 million, but down slightly versus a very, very strong fourth quarter in FY '20. Small UAF also ended the year strong with $70.9 million of revenue, which is a $7.8 million or 12% revenue increase year-over-year. Other revenue in the quarter was down $3.5 million from the prior year. Revenue for the full fiscal year 2021 was $394.9 million, an increase of 7.5% from the 2020 revenue of $367.3 million.

Reflecting continued leadership in our core products, we experienced strong year-over-year organic growth of 12% for the combined TMS and Small UAS product lines. However, this was largely offset by $21.7 million decline in HAPS and other revenue. As a consequence, overall organic revenue growth netted to 3% for the year. The contribution of newly acquired businesses boosted the overall growth to 7.5% level as previously noted. Turning to gross margin, gross margin for the fourth quarter was $59.7 million or 44% of revenue compared to last year's fourth quarter of $53.2 million or 39% of revenue. Gross margins were and will continue to be negatively impacted by intangible amortization expense, included as part of cost of sales, which was $2.6 million for the quarter versus just over $600,000 in Q4 of FY '20.

Excluding the intangible amortization, overall gross margins were strong at 45.8% for the fourth quarter versus 39.8% in last year's fourth quarter. Also excluding intangibles, product gross margins were very strong at 52% versus 42% a year ago. I should note that when we talk about intangible amortization under cost of sales, this also includes other non-cash purchase accounting adjustments. Gross margin for fiscal 2021 was $164.6 million or 42% of revenue compared to $153.1 million, which was also 42% of revenue for fiscal 2020. The total margin dollars increased by 7% year-over-year. Total intangible amortization included as part of cost of sales was $4.5 million for fiscal 2021 versus $2.4 million for FY '20.

Excluding the intangible amortization, overall adjusted gross margin for the year were 43% versus 42% last year. Adjusted product gross margins remained strong for the year at 47%, which is in line with fiscal 2020. Our mix of products and service revenue has been roughly 70% product and 30% service over the last two years. As we move forward, we expect this mix will shift to closer to 60% product and 40% service as a result of our Medium UAS product line's COCO ISR operation, which is classified as service revenue. As a result, overall full year gross margin excluding intangible amortization will decline a few percentage points as a result of this mix shift.

Including intangible amortization, we expect the drop will be between 5 percentage points and 6 percentage points. Accounting FX aside we expect full year product margins before intangible amortization remain fairly stable year-over-year and in the high 40% range. We expect program and product revenue mix in the first quarter to drive lower quarterly margins, significantly below our full year gross margin expectations. This should normalize in the second quarter. Now, turn to operate expenses; SG&A expenses for the fourth quarter was $24.8 million, compared to $16.3 million for Q4 FY '20.

Included in the SG&A for the quarter where intangible amortization and deal integration costs of $6.7 million compared to just over $600,000 in Q4 FY '20, which represented most of the year-over-year increase in SG&A. The remainder of the increase in SG&A for the quarter was a result of newly acquired operations offset by lower travel and other expenses impacted by the pandemic. In terms of the full fiscal year, SG&A expense was $67.5 million, compared to $59.5 million for fiscal 2020. SG&A for the full fiscal year of 2021 included intangible amortization and deal integration costs of $11.1 million, compared to $1.9 million in fiscal 2020. Backing out the increase to intangible amortization deal costs, SG&A expenses actually declined year-over-year. So, when you exclude intangible amortization and deal costs, SG&A as a percentage of revenue in fiscal 2021 was 14.3% versus 15.6% in 2020.

The year-over-year improvement can be attributed to lower travel and trade show expense as a result of the pandemic. As business conditions return to normal, we anticipate our SG&A expense as a percentage of revenue before intangibles and deal costs will return to pre-pandemic levels in 2022. As a point of reference, intangible amortization and integration costs are expected to be a combined approximately $18 million for fiscal 2022. R&D expense for the fourth quarter was $17.1 million or 13% of revenue compared to R&D expense of $15.5 million or 11% of revenue for the fourth quarter of FY '20. R&D expense for fiscal 2021 was $53.8 million or 14% of revenue compared to $46.5 million or 13% of revenue in 2020.

Looking at the bottom line, GAAP net income from continuing operations for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021 was $10.9 million or $0.44 per diluted share compared to net income of $17.8 million or $0.73 per diluted share for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2020. The $6.8 million decrease in net income was largely result of a legal accrual related to our former EES business of $9.3 million. And as well as an additional $8 million of acquisition-related expenses partially offset by gross -- higher gross margin, lower taxes and lower equity method investment activities expenses. For the full year of fiscal 2021 net income from continuing operations was $22.3 million or $0.96 per diluted share compared to $41.3 million or $1.72 per diluted share for fiscal 2020.

The $18 million reduction in net income was primarily due to $11 million of additional acquisition-related expenses, $9.3 million legal accrual mentioned previously, the $8.4 million loss from our portion of HAPSMobile impairment of the investment in Loon partially offset by higher gross margins and lower taxes. In terms of adjusted EPS, slide 11 shows a reconciliation of GAAP and adjusted or non-GAAP diluted EPS. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021 was $1.04 per diluted share versus diluted earnings per share for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2020 of $0.75. For fiscal '21 non-GAAP diluted earnings per share was $2.10 versus non-GAAP diluted earnings per share for fiscal 2020 of $1.84, a 14% increase year-over-year.

Turning to the balance sheet, total cash investments at the end of the quarter was $201.2 million, a decrease of $116.5 million from the end of fiscal 2020 as we deployed our balance sheet for strategic growth opportunities. Total cash flow from operating activities for the fiscal 2021 was $87.2 million of which $23.8 million was a result of working capital improvements and the remainder from operating activities. The working capital improvement came primarily from the collection of accounts receivables. During 2020 -- fiscal 2021, we spent $12 million on capital expenditures. During the fourth quarter, we had total cash outlays from existing cash related to two acquisitions that closed in February of approximately $189 million.

In addition, in conjunction with the Arcturus acquisition, we entered into a $200 million term loan facility and a $100 million revolving credit facility with a group of banks. At the close of the Arcturus transaction, we drew down $200 million on the term loan facility, which was used to fund the acquisition. The $100 million revolving credit facility remains unused. We had an additional $55 million of cash outlays related to Telerob -- to the Telerob acquisition earlier in May following the close of that acquisition. Also, at the close of the Arcturus transaction, we issued approximately 574,000 shares of AV stock to the selling Arcturus shareholders.

Now I'd like to highlight some of the -- our backlog metrics. Our funded backlog at the end of 2021 was $211.8 million, an increase of $107 million from the third quarter of fiscal 2021 and an increase of $3.7 million from the fourth quarter of fiscal 2020 backlog of $208.1 million. Page 8 of the earnings presentation provides a summary of our current FY '22 visibility. We picked up over $100 million of bookings since the end of Q4, bringing our total visibility to the midpoint of the guidance range to 61%, which is the highest level for our fourth quarter in the past five years.

Now, I'd like to turn things back to Wahid.

Wahid Nawabi -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Kevin. We're planning for the return of many of our team members to our work sites as soon as next month, which is also when we will celebrate AeroVironment's 50th anniversary. Our growth portfolio is rich with opportunity. Our intelligent robotic systems in the air, on the ground, and in the water will work together to achieve mission success faster, safer and more cost effectively than otherwise possible. And that intelligence will be bolstered by our expanded AI and autonomy capabilities. In terms of the U.S. DoD budget environment, the President's Interim National Security Strategic Guidance provides strategic direction to the U.S. DoD and informs the department's priorities as reflected in the fiscal year 2022 budget request.

This guidance states, "New technologies like artificial intelligence, autonomy and robotics will change the character of warfare, resulting in a faster, more lethal and more distributed battlefield." Additionally, proposed U.S. government fiscal year 2022 funding for defense procurement and research, development, testing and evaluation or RDT&E for unmanned technologies exceeds $7 billion. This includes $68 million for Army LMAMS procurement where our Switchblade 300 is the incumbent solution, $69 million for Army FTUAS RDT&E, which we are well positioned for with our MAUS JUMP 20 solution. Additionally, the Army added $72 million to their unfunded list in order to accelerate the FTUAS program by two years.

Beyond UAS and TMS, Army Ground Robotics funding request total $124 million. In summary, our expanded portfolio of solutions gives us potential access to as much $450 million and the GFY 2022 budget request, a much larger set of DoD opportunities than ever before. Importantly, we have seen no decrease in demand for our solutions as a result of the military drawdown in Afghanistan. This is consistent with the manner in which Small UAS and TMS solutions have become institutionalized into the way our customers plan, train, procure and operate. Our three acquisitions significantly expand our revenue profile along with our growth portfolio contributing to a significant increase in our revenue expectations for fiscal year 2022.

Looking ahead, we have very good visibility into fiscal year 2022 with strong funded backlog and total visibility of 61% described on slide number 8 of our earnings presentation. This gives us confidence in our ability to achieve our annual revenue and earnings objectives. As summarized on slide number 9 of our earnings presentation, for fiscal year 2022, we expect to deliver a fifth consecutive year of profitable top line growth with revenue of between $560 million and $580 million, adjusted EBITDA of between $105 million and $110 million and earnings per diluted share of $1.31 to $1.51. We expect non-GAAP earnings per diluted share, which excludes amortization of acquired intangible assets to be between $2.50 and $2.70.

This guidance represents a 44% increase in revenue and a 50% increase in adjusted EBITDA. Because of the impact of the pandemic on contract timing, we expect first half revenue to account for approximately 40% of total fiscal year 2022 revenue. We also expect first quarter revenue to represent about 40% of the first half revenue. And our first quarter non-GAAP EPS loss of approximately $0.25 to $0.35 as a result of volume and mix effects. We expect research and development investments to be about 9% to 10% of this fiscal year's revenue. We expect a decline in fiscal year 2021 overall gross margin to about 35% to 37%, as Kevin described in his comments.

We are monitoring our supply chain carefully for any risks that could affect our business. As an example, the ongoing global semiconductor chip shortage may impact some of our programs. In summary, to reiterate our main message for today's call, AeroVironment again delivered on its financial, operational, and strategic commitments despite the continued macroeconomic challenges. As I look ahead into the new fiscal year, I see the potential for continued growth and success for our company. Our confidence in the future has never been stronger. We look forward to meeting with many of you in person in fiscal year 2022 and with many others virtually.

I would like to express my deep appreciation to our customers for trusting and working with us, as well as we all adapted to the pandemic. Thank you to our incredible expanded AeroVironment team and all its team members. Your dedication to our purpose and to serving our customers has always inspired me, but even more so this past year. You have delivered once more and positioned us for continued momentum in fiscal year 2022. A special thank you to Chairman and former CEO, Tim Conver, who will retire from our Board of Directors effective at our next Annual Meeting. AeroVironment would not be the market leader it is today without Tim's vision and perseverance, and we're all grateful for his contributions. I am grateful for Tim's guidance and mentorship throughout the last decade. The entire AeroVironment team and I wished him and his family the very best.

I would like to also express my great appreciation to Steve Gitlin, who is leaving us at the end of this month to pursue opportunities outside of AeroVironment and the robotics industry. Throughout the last two decades, Steve have made significant contributions to AeroVironment's success. Among his many roles and responsibilities, including Chief Marketing Officer, Strategic Planning, Internal Communications and Investor Relations, Steve has always honestly and candidly represented the voice of our shareholders inside AeroVironment. Steve has been instrumental in defining and achieving our future state strategy which positions AeroVironment as an intelligent multi-domain robotic solution provider. We could not have achieved what we have achieved so far without Steve's visionary leadership throughout the last two decades. I wish him well in his future endeavors.

With that, Kevin, Steve and I will now take your questions.

Steven Gitlin -- Chief Marketing Officer, Vice President Investor Relations

Thank you, Wahid.

Wahid Nawabi -- President & Chief Executive Officer

You're welcome, sir.

Questions and Answers:

Steven Gitlin -- Chief Marketing Officer, Vice President Investor Relations

[Operator Instructions] Our first question today comes from Pete Skibitski of Alembic Global. Pete?

Pete Skibitski -- Alembic Global Advisors LLC -- Analyst

Hey good afternoon, guys. Hope you're doing well.

Wahid Nawabi -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Hi, Pete.

Pete Skibitski -- Alembic Global Advisors LLC -- Analyst

Quick question on fourth quarter revenue. It seemed a little soft versus expectations and just by my model excuse me, it seemed almost completely due to HAPS. I thought the expectation was for half revenue to be kind of stable year-over-year but it looks like it was maybe down about $18 million year-over-year. Was that a surprise to you guys? Was it due to the contract kind of change? And then, into fiscal '22, I know I'm going on, but should we kind of extrapolate the contract awards to think that HAPS will be up to $55 million in fiscal 2022?

Wahid Nawabi -- President & Chief Executive Officer

So, Steve, this is Wahid. Thanks for the comment. In regards to your question, obviously, we're very pleased with the record fourth consecutive year of profitable top line growth, both organically as well as inorganically. And we're also positioned extremely well for fiscal year 2022 with another year of consecutive growth expected. In terms of the fourth quarter, we faced a few challenges on supply chain, which we addressed most of that throughout the entire year extremely, extremely well. We -- given the fact that we were in a pandemic we addressed all those issues quite well. But there were some specific minor issues that caused some delays and a few revenue items that addressed our fourth quarter specifically.

Again, record quarter, record year, record backlog, record visibility, and also record sort of top line growth for the past year and next year. And we're looking forward to another very high-growth year, both organically and inorganically, and we'll keep you updated on that. In terms of the HAPS, HAPS revenue should go up a little bit more next year. But really it depends on -- that's a customer-funded R&D program, and that program is really -- the fluctuations are not significant. But you're right. Year-over-year, the HAPS program was slightly slower, and again, that was affected to some extent by the global pandemic which we have not been able to travel internationally and our customer or partner has not been able to travel either. So, there's been some effect of that as well on the fourth quarter.

Pete Skibitski -- Alembic Global Advisors LLC -- Analyst

Okay. Okay, got you. Okay. I'll get back into the queue. Thanks, guys.

Wahid Nawabi -- President & Chief Executive Officer

You're welcome.

Steven Gitlin -- Chief Marketing Officer, Vice President Investor Relations

Our next question comes from Peter Arment at Baird. Peter?

Peter Arment -- Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. -- Analyst

Hey, good afternoon, Wahid, Kevin, Steve. Hey Wahid, on the export for the Switchblade 300, could you maybe talk about -- you mentioned that there were others that were interested. Do you -- when do you expect to see potential orders there and maybe what's the path forward with that program?

Wahid Nawabi -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Sure, Peter. So obviously, we're very pleased with the performance of our TMF business last year. It's been a growth year for us and they will continue to be a growth year for us next year, as Kevin and I outlined some of that growth toward next year. In terms of the export license for Switchblade 600 -- Switchblade 300, I'm sorry, we did receive the first one and we are expect -- we expect to ship that before the end of this fiscal year. We are talking to multiple other interests that countries and allies, all of whom have an interest in this capability and its patented very unique value proposition.

The timing of receiving additional export licenses and awards is again very difficult to predict exactly. However, I think that the fact that we received the first export license does position as well and allows us to have a higher probability of success with additional allies. We consider the international markets for Switchblade 300 and Switchblade 600 quite significant. And we believe that as we execute our strategy and progressed throughout the next few years, we'll continue to expand our Switchblade 600 exports internationally, if we had this insight.

Peter Arment -- Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. -- Analyst

Yeah. Yeah. Just as a follow-up to the Switchblade 600 comment, you mentioned that was being incorporated in some Navy vessels or at least the initial award. Can you talk about if there's any interest from other services including the DoD?

Wahid Nawabi -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Sure. So, we made a lot of really great progress in fiscal year 2021 on our TMS product line in general. We secured a number of awards for LMAMS contract, which I mentioned in the tune of $45-plus-million in my remarks. But also the export license for Switchblade 300. In terms of the Switchblade 600, we received a couple of key awards. One is our existing customer placed orders for us to deliver units for operational deployments, downrange, which is very positive means. That means they really believe in the maturity of the product and the differentiated capability of the solution set. And additionally, we secured another contract over $20 million for the development of an additional variant of this for the ability for Switchblade 600 to be launched off of maritime vessels.

So, this was a maritime variant of Switchblade 600, which is a development and development contract, which our customer is pleased with us so far and continues to work with us. Now this is obviously a development agreement which will take us a little bit of time but it goes to show that the value proposition of this game-changing capability and the desire of our customers for this assets. Lastly, I would also mention that all the other branches of the services including the U.S. Army and U.S. Marine Corps and the Navy are looking at various types of loitering missiles to be basically embedded or integrated with other ground or maritime assets. So, it's very consistent with our strategy and it supports our theory and our belief that this capability could be very, very game-changing long-term for the U.S. war fighters.

Steven Gitlin -- Chief Marketing Officer, Vice President Investor Relations

Thank you Peter. Our next question comes from Joe DeNardi at Stifel. Hi, Joe.

Joseph DeNardi -- Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc. -- Analyst

Hey, good afternoon. And Steve, sorry to see you go. You're one of the good guys in the industry and you'll be missed.

Steven Gitlin -- Chief Marketing Officer, Vice President Investor Relations

Thank you Joe.

Wahid Nawabi -- President & Chief Executive Officer

That's very true. We will miss him as well, Joe.

Joseph DeNardi -- Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc. -- Analyst

I think Steve has been on every call since the IPO if I'm not mistaken. But anyway, Wahid, just the -- can you give us the organic growth assumption embedded in the FY '22 revenue guidance?

Wahid Nawabi -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Sure. So we'll provide more color when we get to our first quarter earnings. We're still in the midst of the integration of the businesses that we've just acquired, which all are going really well. I'm not sure if we're going be able to break out our specific product line growth by that time, but we will keep you updated. In general what I can tell you is that for fiscal year 2022, we still expect growth both on our acquisitions, on organic acquisitions that we've done as well as on our core businesses. And our core businesses, TMS and SUAS remains strong, the product gross margins going into next year also remain stable and healthy and so we expect growth on both organic businesses as well as our organic businesses for the next year. And as you heard my comments, this would be -- fiscal 2022 will be if we achieve the outcomes that we set for ourselves, a fifth consecutive year of double -- of top line profitable growth.

Joseph DeNardi -- Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc. -- Analyst

Is the organic growth greater than 10% at least?

Wahid Nawabi -- President & Chief Executive Officer

We will provide the specific details later on our first quarter earnings call, Joe. But we feel pretty good about the growth of our businesses. And another key point that I would mention is that by these acquisitions and the growth of our product line, we're really a very well-diversified portfolio company now. We've got assets and capabilities in ground, in the air, and in the water, and we have UGVs and UAVs that are of different sizes, customers in different geographies. So the diversity of our portfolio, customer base, and geographic footprint all allows us to have a more -- a better business and a higher-growth business.

Kevin McDonnell -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. And organic growth for the core products, as I mentioned, was 12% year-over-year, and that's combined TMS and Small UAS business. What kind of dragged us down organically was the HAPS and other service revenue.

Steven Gitlin -- Chief Marketing Officer, Vice President Investor Relations

Thank you for your question, Joe. [Operator Instructions] And our next question comes from Ken Herbert at Canaccord. Hi, Ken.

Ken Herbert -- Canaccord Genuity LLC -- Analyst

Hey. Good afternoon, Wahid, Steve, and Kevin. Wanted to dig first in.

Wahid Nawabi -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Good afternoon.

Ken Herbert -- Canaccord Genuity LLC -- Analyst

Yeah. I wanted to dig first into Arcturus, and it seems like the run rate for your fiscal first quarter -- or, I'm sorry, fiscal fourth quarter consistent with what you've guided to after the third quarter but maybe a little bit lower than the run rate when you acquired the business. How should we think about that business now that you're just a few months into ownership? But is it on track to see organic growth in your fiscal '22? And maybe if you could discuss a little bit more detail, Wahid, on some of the timing around the FTUAS opportunity and how we should think about that. Is that -- anything this year, or is that really late '22, maybe '23-type opportunity?

Wahid Nawabi -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Sure. So, Ken, in terms of the Arcturus UAV, we're very pleased with that acquisition. Obviously, the actual close of that deal happened quite late in the quarter, somewhat later in the quarter, and so the contributions on the revenue was not very significant. For fiscal year 2022, we expect that business to grow, and it's really, really well positioned. As I mentioned on our comments, in the fiscal year 2021, at the last quarter, we even received a renewal of one of our sites and we're kind of gaining share in that MEUAS IV program against the incumbents that have been there for many years. And our customers really see the value of our solution very, very strongly. In terms of FTUAS, what I can tell you is that the timing of this is all in the hands of the U.S. Army.

What they have mentioned is that in the government fiscal year 2022 proposed budget, there is additional line items for the FTUAS program as I mentioned in my remarks. And those line items actually even increased by the U.S. Army in order to sort of expedite or -- expedite the whole process a little bit. Now, these are all obviously in the future that needs to happen. But the combined amount is like $69 million on the budget for RDT&E for FTUAS and additional $73 million is unfunded list in order to accelerate the FTUAS program. We are as you know down selected on that FTUAS program. We are very focused on making sure that we're positioned well and we compete in order to win. And we like our chances. But it is a very competitive program and it's a very large program. So everything in that program for us is a gain in share and gain in market penetration in addition to our MUAS SOCOM contract and other potential international customers that are interested.

Ken Herbert -- Canaccord Genuity LLC -- Analyst

Okay. That was.

Kevin McDonnell -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

I would add that for that division that they'll have some bumps in revenue during the year as they have deployments. So that'll also bump up the recurring revenue.

Ken Herbert -- Canaccord Genuity LLC -- Analyst

Okay. That's great. And if I could on the fiscal '22 guide, the total guidance implies roughly sort of flat EBITDA margin in '22 over '21 As you get a greater contribution from some of the higher margin businesses like Arcturus, is it fair to say that much of the headwind would be coming from lower half revenues or is there something else we should be thinking about as a headwind to margins in '22?

Kevin McDonnell -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

I think we were acquiring these businesses. We're putting them together. I think we've tried to do our best on estimating what the margin percentage is. I think over time we'll see more leverage there.

Steven Gitlin -- Chief Marketing Officer, Vice President Investor Relations

Thank you very much for your question, Ken. Our next question comes from Louie DiPalma at William Blair. Good afternoon, Louie.

Louie DiPalma -- William Blair & Co. LLC -- Analyst

Good afternoon, Steve, Wahid, and Kevin. And, Steve, good luck on your future endeavors.

Steven Gitlin -- Chief Marketing Officer, Vice President Investor Relations

Thank you Louie. Thank you.

Louie DiPalma -- William Blair & Co. LLC -- Analyst

Wahid, you discussed how the three acquisitions significantly expanded your total addressable market. If you were to compare your bidding pipeline today and all the opportunities that you mentioned such as FTUAS, if you were to compare that pipeline to what it was a year ago, how has that pipeline changed now with the three acquisitions?

Wahid Nawabi -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Louie, so the three acquisitions really transformed our portfolio and position in the market. We now have access to a much larger total addressable market which in the past we really didn't have the ability to be able to compete or participate in. An example of that is our Arcturus UAV, the Jump 20 and T20 product line, addresses a billion dollar-plus market opportunity alone on those two platforms. And we have also obviously ideas about integrating our solutions together which even increases the value proposition further and opens up new opportunities for us that doesn't even exist today based on our customers' needs and requirements that we know of. And of course similar thing could apply to the UGV business that we have.

Obviously that's a smaller business today. But we're going to be a key player in that space and we like our solution. We like our position. And a very disruptive capability that product line offers to us. So in general, I would say it has really transformed our portfolio. It has dramatically increased our markets size and opportunity in front of us. And what I'm also really pleased is that long term besides just giving us access to these specific markets the integration of AI and autonomy with ISGs, artificial intelligence and computer vision technologies. We will be able deliver even more value to our customers and open up more opportunities for us in the long run. So it's pretty quite transformative for us.

Louie DiPalma -- William Blair & Co. LLC -- Analyst

Great. Thanks Wahid.

Wahid Nawabi -- President & Chief Executive Officer

You're welcome, Louie.

Steven Gitlin -- Chief Marketing Officer, Vice President Investor Relations

Thank you, Louie. [Operator Instructions] We have a follow up question from Joe DeNardi. Joe, please go ahead.

Joseph DeNardi -- Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc. -- Analyst

Yeah. Thanks. Wahid, just on OPSM [Phonetic]. I mean, AeroVironment doesn't lose very often so I would imagine that was a bit of a surprise for you. So can you just talk about what happened there? And if you've learned kind of what, why you lost?

Wahid Nawabi -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Sure. So Joe, as I mentioned we have not won -- we were not awarded specific phase of the contract which is the second phase. And my estimate is that that's roughly about $20-ish-million worth of an award that we did not receive. To our knowledge, the customer has not disclosed publicly the winner of that program. To our knowledge, the customer has not disclosed publicly the winner of that program, and we were very surprised by that, obviously. So we continue to seek the customer's feedback on why they think that we were not awarded, and we will continue to learn more from that and keep you updated as we learn more about it, although the customer right now is in a position where they are sensitive to being able to communicate with different contractors until they make a public announcement probably somehow.

I would also mention something else which you're right. Our win rate is extremely high. We did, however, in other areas win other opportunities, which does support our thesis on Switchblade 600 and the larger-size market and adoption of it. While this was really a development activity for the U.S. Marine Corps, it does not rule out for our ability to come in and compete on the third base which is really the larger acquisition for deployment and operational production contracts, and the U.S. Marine Corps has not made any statements related to that yet. So that's one.

Two is we've secured a contract to deliver units for operational use today with our existing customers. So our systems are, while this contract was a development contract, we're already deploying systems for operational use. And then, lastly, an additional customer has seen a lot of value in our solutions which they have placed in order for the tune of $20-plus-million for the maritime variant of it so there's also additional other opportunities that we're tracking. So, like you said, we're disappointed with that. We were not awarded, but we've not given up on that, and we're keeping very close eye on it, and that war is not over yet.

Joseph DeNardi -- Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc. -- Analyst

Okay, that's helpful. And then, you mentioned briefly the semiconductor shortage may impact you. Are there certain programs where that's more acute? And can you -- I mean is that embedded in your guidance? How meaningful could that be?

Wahid Nawabi -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Sure. So, let me say that because the company we are, we use the latest, greatest cutting edge technology in all of our solutions in terms of the latest greatest computer vision, processors, graphics, microprocessors and components that cross our portfolio. So far in fiscal year 2021, we really address vast majority of those challenges quite well in advance and effectively. So far in fiscal year 2022, we think that we have managed most of that so far as well. But as you know, there's a global shortage of these parts.

And the timing of the shortage is really unknown and how bad could it get is also still to some extent unpredictable. There's likely less impact of that on our production contracts and more likely to affect our engineering development contracts or development activities for new products because that's where we use a lot of these systems for development of new capabilities. But so far, we've managed it well and that's already comprehended in our guidance. However, there's always a risk on that and I wanted to make sure that I communicate that to all of you upfront.

Steven Gitlin -- Chief Marketing Officer, Vice President Investor Relations

Thank you for the follow up question Joe. We have no further questions at this time. On a personal note, it's been a real privilege to represent AeroVironment and the entire team to the investment community for the past 14 years. I truly value the relationships I developed here and with the investment community. Thank you for your attention and for your interest in AeroVironment. An archived version of this call, all SEC filings and relevant company and industry news can be found on our website at avinc.com. We wish you a good day. And the AeroVironment team looks forward to speaking with you again following next quarter's results.

Duration: 57 minutes

Call participants:

Steven Gitlin -- Chief Marketing Officer, Vice President Investor Relations

Wahid Nawabi -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Kevin McDonnell -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Pete Skibitski -- Alembic Global Advisors LLC -- Analyst

Peter Arment -- Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. -- Analyst

Joseph DeNardi -- Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc. -- Analyst

Ken Herbert -- Canaccord Genuity LLC -- Analyst

Louie DiPalma -- William Blair & Co. LLC -- Analyst

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