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Why Wayfair Stock Slumped 11.5% in August

By Timothy Green – Sep 3, 2016 at 11:32AM

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The fast-growing online furniture seller is failing to keep its costs in check.

Image source: Wayfair.

What happened

Shares of online furniture retailer Wayfair (W -3.81%) dropped 11.5% in August, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence. The company's second-quarter report was mixed, with costs rising faster than sales, a development that led investors to erase the stock's earlier gains.

W Chart

W data by YCharts.

So what

Wayfair grew revenue by 60% year over year to $786.9 million during the second quarter, driven by a 65% increase in active customers and a 15% increase in average order value. Analysts expected revenue to be about $4.5 million lower.

While Wayfair beat expectations on revenue, profitability was another story. The company reported a non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) net loss of $0.43 per share, compared to a loss of $0.15 per share during the prior-year period, and $0.02 lower than the average analyst estimate. The miss was driven by a 69% year-over-year increase in operating expenses, with merchandising, marketing, and sales costs rising 82%.

While Wayfair has yet to reach profitability, despite generating nearly $3 billion of sales over the past 12 months, CEO Niraj Shah is confident in the long-term story:

We look forward to building on our success in the United States and our investments in Europe and Canada, and remain very enthusiastic about our long term growth and profit potential.

Now what

Wayfair's market capitalization now sits at roughly $3.3 billion, about the same as the average analyst estimate for revenue in fiscal 2016. That valuation suggests investors aren't very confident that Wayfair can continue to grow rapidly and become profitable at the same time.

Wayfair continues to spend heavily in order to gain more customers, but with customer loyalty a fickle concept, it's unclear whether this spending will pay off in the long run. Wayfair spent 12% of revenue on advertising during the second quarter, a number that will need to come down if the company hopes to eventually turn a profit. Despite continued growth, a lack of progress toward profitability was enough to send Wayfair stock tumbling in August.

Timothy Green has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Wayfair. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Stocks Mentioned

Wayfair Stock Quote
$35.61 (-3.81%) $-1.41

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