Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

Why Novavax, Inc. Is Tanking Today

By George Budwell – Nov 10, 2016 at 8:29AM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The vaccine maker slashed its workforce in an effort to keep its head above water.

Image source: Getty Images.

What happened

Shares of Novavax (NVAX 4.86%), a clinical-stage vaccine maker, fell by more than 17% in pre-marketing trading on Thursday. The biotech's latest move southward was triggered by a surprise 30% reduction in its workforce designed to slow its cash-burn rate moving forward. The company made the announcement in its third-quarter earnings release Wednesday afternoon. 

So what

Novavax's shares crumbled in September after its lead vaccine candidate for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) flamed out in a late-stage study assessing its effectiveness in elderly patients. The big issue is that this single indication could have generated billion in sales for the vaccine maker, and most analysts pretty much assumed it would hit the mark in its pivotal trial for older adults based on its encouraging mid-stage results. After this closely watched RSV vaccine candidate totally whiffed in its late-stage trial, however, Novavax was forced to rethink its overall clinical and business strategy -- as evinced by this substantial cut to its workforce. 

Now what

Per management's comments yesterday, the company plans to pivot to its RSV vaccine efforts in infants via maternal immunization and double down on its far less advanced Zika virus vaccine candidate to create shareholder value moving forward.

The good news is that Novavax does have the cash runway to execute this plan without having to resort to eye-popping secondary offerings in the near term. After all, the company exited the third quarter with a noteworthy $300.3 million in cash and cash equivalents, and its restructuring efforts should dramatically lower its cash-burn rate in the next few quarters. 

The downside, though, is that Novavax's high-value RSV vaccine candidate now looks like an extreme long shot, despite some impressive results in smaller, mid-stage studies. Investors probably shouldn't buy this speculative biotech stock unless they're comfortable with particularly high levels of risk.

George Budwell has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.