One year ago, silver seller Silver Wheaton Corp. (WPM -2.23%) slumped into the market to report a quarterly loss of $0.24. This morning, the miner reversed that loss, reporting a $0.19-per-share profit instead -- but it wasn't enough. Investors slammed the stock for a loss, and Silver Wheaton shares are down 12.2% as of 1:20 p.m. EST.
Why the perverse reaction to such apparently good news? Because investors wanted more. Analysts forecasting Silver Wheaton's quarter had estimated a $0.22 profit on $257.2 million in sales, and the $0.19 that it delivered (on only $233.2 million in sales, to boot) just didn't measure up to expectations.
The news isn't all bad. Even after Thursday's tumble, Silver Wheaton shares are still trading about 93% higher than they were a year ago. On the other hand, the same gains that have put so much extra "silver" in investors' pockets have put its stock in a perilous position.
With only $15 million in trailing profits recorded over the past year, shares now sell for the incredibly high valuation of 703 times trailing-12-month earnings (according to the latest data from S&P Global Market Intelligence). Against analysts' consensus estimate of a 35% long-term growth rate, that's a valuation that looks nigh on indefensible -- and this morning, investors failed to defend it.
Unless profits perk up right quickly next quarter, investors should probably prepare themselves for this stock to give them more of the same.