Last quarter, shares of Cliffs Natural Resources (NYSE:CLF) took a nosedive after earnings were released, even if that large drop wasn't necessarily deserved. This time around, though, Wall Street cheered to the tune of a 19% gain after earnings thanks to a strong showing in the fourth quarter.
Let's have a quick look at Cliffs' results for the fourth quarter and what investors can look forward to in 2017
By the numbers
|Results*||Q4 2016||Q3 2016||Q4 2015|
|Earnings per share||$0.34||($0.12)||($0.39)|
There were a lot of positive factors influencing this most recent report, both in and out of Cliffs' control. Starting with the one that is out of its control: iron ore prices in the Asia-Pacific region. Per-ton prices increased from $33.73 this time last year to $57.30 in the quarter. This was a big benefit, but there is no guarantee that Asia-Pacific prices will stay at these levels or rise.
With that in mind, the things that were really impressive were the things that Cliffs can control, notably the improvements in its U.S. iron ore business. Thanks to a major iron ore sales deal signed back in may with ArcelorMittal (NYSE:MT), Cliffs was able to restart one of its mines and increase production. As a result, total volumes sold were 53% higher than last year. On top of those large gains, it was also able to reduce per-ton operating expenses by 12%. All of these things led to a significant gain in operating margins.
There was even some progress on the corporate side as well. Even though corporate costs increased in the quarter, that money was being better spent. Thanks to some debt extinguishment moves in the prior quarter, Cliffs has been able to reduce its interest expenses by 26%. So the increase in corporate spending went to higher research and development spending as well as some incentive compensation. That R&D spending is being done to produce new iron products that can be used in electric arc furnaces. These newer steel-making furnaces require a higher-quality steel than the traditional blast furnaces Cliffs has been supplying for years. Since most U.S. production is migrating toward these newer furnaces, Cliffs is trying to stay relevant in a changing market.
Big capital restructuring
Along with the company's earnings results came a slew of press releases announcing that it is making some major moves to recapitalize the business:
- Raising $591 million through an equity issuance
- Raising $500 million through unsecured senior notes due 2025
- Paying off its 7% second lien notes due 2020 and its 8% 1.5 lien notes due 2020
- Paying off the outstanding balance on its 5.9% senior notes due 2020, 4.8% senior notes due 2020, and 4.875% senior notes due 2021
In aggregate, these moves basically will extinguish or extend the terms for some of its debts due within the next few years. While the shareholder dilution isn't the best thing for shareholders, it will significantly reduce the company's total debt load as well as extinguish some of its highest-interest debt that it took on in the middle of the commodity downturn. This will put the company on much more solid financial footing for the next several years.
What management had to say
CEO Lourenco Goncalves:
2016 was the year in which we finalized the execution of the operational, commercial and financial actions necessary to ensure Cliffs will have a great future. Among the actions accomplished last year are several new sales agreements entered with clients, including the renewal of our long-term supply contract with our largest customer, and a number of capital markets transactions that were successfully executed to reduce debt and extend our maturity runway.
Despite the undeniable fact that the underlying business environment was far from ideal during almost all of 2016, the environmentally compliant and safety oriented performance of the Cliffs teams in the United States and in Australia resulted in a very profitable year with strong cash flow generation.
We are excited about Cliffs and about our future. A much more favorable business environment in the U.S. and a newly adopted rational behavior in the international iron ore market support the work we have done internally in our company. With a much lower debt profile and extended maturities, and several new and more favorable commercial agreements that we put in place in 2016, we expect Cliffs to deliver strong and sustainable results in 2017.
What a Fool believes
When Goncalves took the reins in 2014, he immediately said he would focus on shedding the company of its non-core businesses, cut costs, get the company's balance sheet in order, and generate cash flow for investors. In a little more than two years, he has accomplished three of those goals. Even after the company completes this major debt reduction and restructuring move, there is still some room for improvement.
That said, Cliffs is in much, much better shape than it was a couple of years ago, and the company is looking more and more like it will be able to fulfill in 2017 all of the promises Goncalves made.