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Why Ryder System Stock Just Tumbled 12%

By Rich Smith - Apr 25, 2017 at 2:50PM

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Earnings misses, and more to come, are not things that investors like to see.

What happened

Shares of truck rental and "transportation solutions" company Ryder System (R 1.45%) are tumbling, down 12.2% as of 2 p.m. EDT.

So what

It was an earnings report that sent Ryder low. Tuesday morning, Ryder released its fiscal first-quarter 2017 earnings, reporting sales gains of 7% ($1.75 billion) in comparison to last year's Q1 -- but profits down 32% at just $0.71 per diluted share.

There are at least two ways of looking at these numbers. On the one hand, Ryder beat analyst estimates for sales. (Zacks estimates averaged out to $1.69 billion for the quarter.) On the other hand, Ryder clearly missed analyst projections for $0.84 per share in profits.

Ryder trucks at depot.

Image source: Ryder System.

Now what

Things could get even worse before they get better. In addition to reporting its earnings for last quarter, Ryder issued new guidance for Q2 2017, and for this whole year. According to management, Ryder is likely to earn between $0.79 and $0.89 this current quarter. (Analysts had predicted $1.35.) Management also said earnings for the full year will range between $3.90 and $4.20 per share. (Analysts had predicted $5.23.)

Thus, not only did Ryder miss expectations last quarter, it's also probably going to miss this quarter as well -- and then proceed to keep on missing estimates all year long.

No wonder investors are abandoning the stock. Ryder has basically just told us that it's on course to post its third year in a row of declining earnings. Even at a new and improved valuation of just 15 times earnings, this stock may be no bargain at all.

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Ryder System, Inc. Stock Quote
Ryder System, Inc.
$72.09 (1.45%) $1.03

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