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T-Mobile Just Had Its Best Quarter Ever

By Adam Levy - Updated Apr 16, 2019 at 10:28PM

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Can it keep it up in 2019?

Check out the latest T-Mobile earnings call transcript.

True to form, T-Mobile (TMUS 1.49%) had to rain on Verizon's (VZ 0.86%) parade, announcing its blowout fourth-quarter results just a day after Verizon reported better-than-expected subscriber numbers.

T-Mobile added a record 2.4 million net new subscribers in the fourth quarter, 1.4 million of which were postpaid additions. One million of those were highly valued postpaid phone subscribers. For the full 2018 year, T-Mobile showed accelerating growth in both overall net additions and postpaid phone net additions. That's despite completely dominating the industry in 2017.

It's important to look at what's driving subscriber growth at T-Mobile, and whether those factors will continue to prevail in the future.

T-Mobile CEO John Legere in a chef's hat and apron cooking.

T-Mobile CEO John Legere cooked up an excellent fourth quarter to go with his apple pudding cake. Image source: XXXX. 

Keeping customer churn low

One of the biggest factors helping drive net additions is a reduction in customer losses. T-Mobile posted a record-low fourth-quarter postpaid churn rate of 0.99%. That's down from 1.18% in the fourth quarter last year. Not only is T-Mobile's churn rate lower, it's been able to reduce the absolute number of customers leaving its service while increasing its overall subscriber count. That's an impressive feat.

T-Mobile's churn rate showed considerable improvement in 2018, even while competitors saw their churn rates climb higher. Even Verizon's latest report, which had more additions than analysts expected, showed a 5-basis-point increase in its postpaid phone churn rate.

One reason for the lower churn at T-Mobile is the inclusion of Netflix with its family plans for the full year. Carriers have shown bundling video packages with wireless works to retain customers and improve customer lifetime value. Additionally, T-Mobile introduced a new customer service initiative, "team of experts," last summer as another way to differentiate itself and keep customers satisfied with the service.

T-Mobile will continue to come out with new Un-carrier moves in 2019, which will keep driving customer loyalty and gross additions.

Winning gross additions in new market segments

2018 was also a year where T-Mobile focused on several new market segments. After building out its network to cover the same number of people as Verizon, T-Mobile can now target customers all over the country.

One particularly valuable segment is the business and enterprise segment. T-Mobile had practically no presence in that market just a couple years ago. Even today, President Mike Sievert says the company has a single-digit market share of each. That means there's a lot of growth left in those markets for T-Mobile.

T-Mobile was also able to grow its presence in suburban and rural markets thanks to its improved network coverage. The company rapidly expanded its store count in 2017 and 2018 to catch up with its network coverage. And those stores are paying off with more customer growth.

New stores will continue to bring in new customers in 2019, but their impact will slow over time. Additionally, Sievert says T-Mobile will be more selective in its store openings going forward. Still, there's a lot of room to improve in those markets. The company's shares of the rural and suburban markets are sub-10% and 14% to 15%, respectively.

Finally, T-Mobile has targeted specific segments by offering promotional pricing. It offers a unique plan for couples aged 55 and older and it offers a discount to military members. Sievert says its share of those two high-value markets is just 10%. The company may pursue other markets in a similar manner in 2019.

So T-Mobile has a lot of room to grow its gross additions by continuing to go after those markets. Combined with improving customer retention efforts, T-Mobile is poised for another strong year in 2019 coming off a stellar fourth quarter.

Adam Levy has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends NFLX. The Motley Fool recommends T-Mobile US and Verizon Communications. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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