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Why Intel Stock Is Taking a Beating Today

By Timothy Green – Apr 26, 2019 at 12:50PM

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The chip giant's problems are getting worse.

What happened

Shares of Intel (INTC 3.85%) tumbled on Friday following a first-quarter report that beat expectations but featured a weak outlook for 2019. The data center business suffered a sales decline to start the year, and the company now sees that business declining for the full year as well. The stock was down about 10.1% at 12:10 p.m. EDT.

So what

Intel reported first-quarter revenue of $16.06 billion, flat compared to the prior-year period and $70 million above the average analyst estimate. The client computing group grew by 4.5% to $8.59 billion, but the data center group slumped 6.3% to $4.90 billion. Nonvolatile memory was also a weak spot, with revenue down 12% to $915 million due to a difficult NAND pricing environment.

Intel data center chips

Image source: Intel.

In the client computing group, unit volumes for notebooks and desktops declined by 7% and 8%, respectively, compared to the first quarter of last year. But a 13% increase in notebook average selling prices and an 7% increase in desktop average selling prices more than offset the lower unit volume.

In the data center group, unit volumes were down 8% year over year, with average selling prices up just 1%. Data center unit volumes tumbled 17% from the fourth quarter of 2018.

Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.89, up from $0.87 in the prior-year period and $0.02 higher than analysts were expecting.

Now what

While Intel's first quarter was a bit better than expected, the company slashed its outlook for the full year. Intel now sees revenue of $69 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $4.35, down from previous guidance calling for revenue of $71.5 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $4.60.

Intel is dealing with a range of issues that forced it to cut its outlook. CEO Robert Swan said during the earnings call that the decline in memory pricing has intensified, suggesting that the bottom is nowhere in sight. Swan also said that the ongoing data center inventory correction is more severe than expected, and that increasing China-related headwinds have led to a more cautious IT spending environment.

This guidance assumes that overall data-centric revenue will be down a low single-digit percentage in 2019, with revenue in the data center group down a mid-single-digit percentage. Intel also expects the NAND pricing environment to become more challenging. The company will also be facing increased competition from Advanced Micro Devices in both the PC and server markets as that company launches new products later this year.

Intel still expects some improvements in the second half, although a robust rebound now looks out of the question. With Intel's data center growth engine sputtering, it's not surprising to see the stock taking a big hit.

Timothy Green has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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