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Boot Barn Shares Say Giddy-Up

By Anne Burdakin - Jan 17, 2020 at 8:03AM

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"First buy a cowboy hat and boots." -- James Michener

In a time of brick-and-mortar retail declines and failures, Boot Barn (BOOT -4.92%) stock is shooting the lights out, increasing 162% in 2019. 

The company sells Western apparel, boots, and heavy-duty work wear in 33 states and online. With strong revenue growth and margin expansion, Boot Barn shows no signs of slowing down.

Ride a fast horse

Boot Barn reported preliminary results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2020 on Jan. 10.

For the third quarter, which ended Dec. 28, the company expects to report that net sales increased a whopping 11.8%, to approximately $284 million.

In terms of same-store sales, Boot Barn notched an increase of approximately 6.7%, including an increase in retail same-store sales of about 5.7% and an increase in e-commerce sales of about 11%. Third-quarter guidance had only projected an increase of 5%. Retail same-store sales increased for the 11th consecutive quarter.

Two cowboys on galloping horses at sunset

Image source: Getty Images.

The all-important holiday season showed same-store sales increasing a strong 6% for the combined November and December period, illustrating that customers are seeing Boot Barn as their "go-to" store for holiday shopping.

For retail context: L Brands (BBWI -8.09%) reported that comparable sales fell 3% for the nine weeks ended Jan. 4, Kohl's (KSS -13.08%) holiday period comps declined 0.2% year over year, and Macy's (M -8.83%) comps decreased 0.7%.

Boot Barn expects to report net income of approximately $0.85 per share, a significant bump from third-quarter guidance of $0.73 to $0.77 per share. Net income per share for the current year galloped ahead 23% to $0.81, compared to $0.66 in the prior year.

Hitting the sweet spot of retail

When comparable sales are up, a retailer doesn't need promotions and discounts to drive traffic growth, resulting in higher gross margins and net results. Quality exclusive brands also support margin growth. If a retailer has both, it's a dynamite combination.

CEO Jim Conroy said in a press release:

Our strong third quarter performance highlights the ongoing momentum in the business. Our performance included record growth in exclusive brand penetration, which along with our continued focus on full-price selling helped drive healthy merchandise margin expansion during the quarter. Additionally, I am pleased that the sales trend for the first two weeks of the fourth quarter are in line with the third quarter and am very proud of the team for continuing to deliver solid results as we expand the Boot Barn footprint.

The preliminary numbers were released prior to Boot Barn's presentation at an industry conference. The company expects to release its official third-quarter results, along with fourth-quarter guidance, on Feb. 4.

Can investors still profit?

Boot Barn has been a wonderful choice for growth investors over the past couple of years. The numbers show that the company has laid an admirable foundation and is just now hitting its stride. Weaker retailers will fall by the wayside, but Boot Barn is emerging as a retail leader with more growth to come.

Boot Barn deals in classic Western wear, which is not subject to changing fashion currents, easing inventory planning and pricing pressures. If the company decides to venture into fashion items, that dynamic could change, but so far there are no signs of that.

Though the share price has increased in the past two years, I think it's justified, considering the company's performance, excellent management, and future prospects. Investors will be rewarded by Boot Barn, a winner in the retail space.

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Stocks Mentioned

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. Stock Quote
Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.
$72.02 (-4.92%) $-3.73
Macy's, Inc. Stock Quote
Macy's, Inc.
$17.65 (-8.83%) $-1.71
Bath & Body Works, Inc. Stock Quote
Bath & Body Works, Inc.
$36.79 (-8.09%) $-3.24
Kohl's Corporation Stock Quote
Kohl's Corporation
$39.15 (-13.08%) $-5.89

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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