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Uber Stock Scores Biggest 1-Day Price Gain Ever

By Rich Smith - Feb 7, 2020 at 4:18PM

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Could it be profitable by Q4 2020?

Uber (UBER 0.06%) stock IPO'ed in May at $45 per share. Today, Uber stock closed under $41 -- and that's good news.

It's good news because, for pretty much its entire lifetime on the public markets, Uber has been a broken IPO -- a stock so disliked by investors that it's traded below its IPO price. And while Uber remains "broken" today, Friday saw the stock come the closest it's gotten yet, to returning to its IPO price, in the past six months.

Car gear shift in reverse

Uber stock is finally ready to shift out of reverse. Image source: Getty Images.

Uber's Friday surge from $37.09 to a closing price of $40.63, which took its stock price up 9.5% by day's end, had a couple of good reasons behind it. Yesterday after close of trading, Uber reported fiscal Q4 2019 sales of $4.07 billion, slightly ahead of the consensus target. The company also lost less money -- $0.64 per diluted share, instead of the expected $0.68 loss.

Sales reaccelerated -- up 37% year over year in Q4, after slipping to 30% growth in the previous quarter.

Perhaps most importantly, Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi told investors on the company's post-earnings conference call that, instead of targeting positive earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) in 2021, as previously predicted, he now believes that Uber can achieve EBITDA profitability in Q4 2020. Thus, by one standard of "earnings" at least (albeit a very lenient standard), Uber could be profitable this very year.

Mind you, this doesn't mean that Uber will be profitable for this year. Management is still forecasting a $1.35 billion EBITDA loss for all of 2020. But by Q4, the company thinks it can at least start erasing those losses ... and move toward actual GAAP profitability in the future.

Rich Smith has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Uber Technologies. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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