Shares of aluminum producer Alcoa (NYSE:AA) dropped a whopping 24.7% today, as investors sold off nearly every segment of the market. At the market's close, shares were down 18.1% on the day.
The impact of the coronavirus is hitting a broader range of companies on the market beyond entertainment and travel, and metals suppliers aren't being spared. The worry today is that Alcoa could be hit by a broad economic slowdown as soon as this quarter.
Aluminum prices have declined some as the market has fallen but were only down about 1.4% today, so that wasn't what caused the decline in shares. It's more of a macro concern that investors have on their minds.
Yesterday, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs both predicted that we're already in a global recession; they just don't know how long it will last or how bad it will be. Since the demand for aluminum is tied to economic activity, a recession would be very bad for earnings.
There's a lot of uncertainty in the market right now, and for metals and infrastructure companies there could be a big slowdown in demand in the coming months. Factories may also be idled to keep workers home, meaning costs will pile up without a product being made. Alcoa was already struggling with low margins before the coronavirus pandemic hit, but this will exacerbate those financial challenges and could keep pushing the stock lower.