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Why Robinhood Stock Lost 17% in October

By Jeremy Bowman – Nov 9, 2021 at 12:50AM

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A disappointing earnings report sent the stock falling.

What happened

Shares of Robinhood Markets (HOOD -3.59%) pulled back in October, after the company issued a disappointing third-quarter earnings report, with revenue falling sequentially from the second quarter. According to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence, the stock finished the month down 17%.

The stock drifted downward for much of the month before falling sharply on Oct. 27.

HOOD Chart

HOOD data by YCharts

So what

Robinhood shares dipped 10.4% on Oct. 27, after the company badly missed estimates in its third-quarter earnings report. 

A person trading stocks on their smartphone

Image source: Getty Images.

Revenue in the quarter rose 35% to $365 million but, that was down from the second quarter as the boom from the Dogecoin rally faded. That result badly missed estimates at $431.5 million, as the company noted that crypto activity declined from the second quarter, which led to a sharp slowdown in new accounts and even a decline in total funded accounts on the platform. Funded accounts dipped slightly from 22.5 million in the second quarter to 22.4 million, and assets under custody fell from $102 billion to $95 billion.

Robinhood also saw an adjusted EBITDA profit of $59 million flip to a loss of $84 million, and on a GAAP basis, the company reported a loss of $2.06 per share, worse than expectations at $1.37.

The app-based financial brokerage also offered underwhelming guidance, calling for revenue of $325 million in at most in the fourth quarter, saying that seasonal headwinds and lower retail trading activity would affect results. It also expected 660,000 new accounts in the period, similar to the third quarter. Robinhood's Q4 revenue forecast was far short of the analyst consensus at $498 million.

Now what

Analysts responded to the report by lowering their price targets, and the report, only Robinhood's second as a publicly traded company, raises doubts about the company's growth potential. Robinhood has disrupted the financial services industry and has won a following, especially among millennials and Gen Z, but with no commissions and a business model that relies on payment for order flow, the volatility is likely to continue. The boom in the second quarter driven by Dogecoin may prove to be temporary.

Robinhood is making progress, improving its platform by rolling 24/7 customer service phone support and introducing crypto wallets, which shows it's focused on providing value for its customers. Still, investors should expect slower growth for at least the next quarter or two, as new accounts have slowed and the company is lapping the trading boom during the pandemic.

Jeremy Bowman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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