This November will mark the third anniversary of the release of OpenAI's ChatGPT. That was a smash success, as it became the fastest app to reach 100 million monthly active users. In March, OpenAI said that ChatGPT had 500 million weekly active users, showing that its adoption continues to increase.
We now have greater confidence that artificial intelligence (AI) isn't going away. Businesses are spending tons of capital on talent and physical infrastructure to bolster their AI capabilities, hoping to become leaders in what many think could be the next technological paradigm.
From an investment perspective, AI can no longer be ignored. The smart money is figuring out the best way to allocate capital to gain portfolio exposure. Luckily, investors can skip trying to pick individual winners.
That's because there's a top AI exchange-traded fund (ETF) to home in on. Here's why you should buy it right now and hold for 10 years.
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QQQ's diversified exposure to AI
There are numerous ETFs that investors can choose from. However, the one that provides adequate exposure to the AI trend is the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ 0.45%). It contains the 100 largest nonfinancial companies that trade on the Nasdaq stock exchange. As of July 10, it had $356 billion in assets under management.
With 100 different stocks in its portfolio, investors might initially think that there's sufficient diversification. But it's important to understand that there's heavy concentration toward the top. The largest 10 positions combined make up 50.7% of the QQQ Trust. In essence, the performance of these businesses has a big influence on how the ETF fares.
Besides Costco, the other nine stocks are directly related to technological trends. And AI is increasingly becoming a more important part of their corporate strategies.
For instance, Nvidia, the top stock with a 9.4% weighting, is the poster child of the AI boom, selling powerful graphics processing units that support AI data centers.
Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet, the so-called hyperscalers, are developing their own chips to bolster their cloud platforms.
Tesla is another example of a top 10 holding that's betting on AI to have a profound impact on its business model. Improving its autonomous driving system certainly relies on the technology.
Monster gains and a low cost
The Invesco QQQ Trust has produced a total return of 466% in the past decade. This is significantly ahead of the S&P 500 index's 265% total return during the same period. That's a tremendous outcome that has been driven by the success of those previously mentioned companies.
The expense ratio is 0.2%. In other words, for every $1,000 invested in the Invesco QQQ Trust, only $2 goes to the ETF sponsor on an annual basis. That's a very favorable fee.
The trailing-10-year return of the Invesco QQQ Trust is phenomenal. It would be wonderful to see this performance repeat itself over the next decade, but investors would be wise to temper their expectations a bit.
Since its inception in March 1999, the ETF has generated an annualized return of 9.6%. This is still a fine result, and it could revert to the mean and match this performance from this point forward.
But maybe a more reasonable perspective as we look out to 2035 is to expect the Invesco QQQ Trust to be somewhere in the middle of its long-term average and the annualized 18.9% it registered over the past decade. It would be hard to argue with that result, which makes this AI ETF a smart buy-and-hold candidate.
