Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

Can J&J Do Better Than GDP?

By Stephen D. Simpson, Simpson, – Updated Nov 15, 2016 at 6:09PM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Investors and analysts are obsessed with growth, but J&J isn't. J&J's right.

What the heck is this? Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ) reported sales growth of under 5%, and earnings growth of about 9%. That's OK performance . if you're a bank. Alas, Johnson & Johnson is not a bank, and this sort of performance means that we'll continue to be treated to the sighs <sic> and sounds of analysts publicly worrying about whether or not J&J has the muscle to grow the top line faster than world GDP growth.

Even though folks didn't really expect a lot from JNJ this quarter, many still will go away grumbling. Operating income fell 1%, suggesting that that quality of the net earnings growth wasn't up to par. What's more, neither the DePuy orthopedics business nor the Cyper drug-coated stent business performed all that well this time around -- lending more ammunition to those who think that big rivals like Boston Scientific (NYSE:BSX), Medtronic (NYSE:MDT), and Stryker (NYSE:SYK) will continue to pick away at the company's lucrative franchises.

The pharmaceutical side was also no great help, what with sales up little more than 3%. While I am beginning to think that JNJ's drug pipeline may be underestimated, what with some high-potential candidates in HIV/AIDS, arthritis, and the recent Vertex (NASDAQ:VRTX) deal for hepatitis C, it will be a little while yet before any of that growth hits the numbers.

Last and not least, there's still the lingering concern about the company overpaying for Pfizer's (NYSE:PFE) consumer health business. I still believe that though the company paid a lot for it, JNJ might be able to do more with it than people realize -- Pfizer's business has a larger foreign component and there could be real growth potential from over-the-counter products in emerging markets in the years to come. Further, getting so much bigger will give JNJ more pull with retailers like Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT) and may ultimately make the business more profitable than some think.

To be sure, this is an important point in JNJ's corporate life cycle. Does it settle into growing more or less in step with the world economy, or does it sniff out new avenues of growth that will let it achieve the sort of performance that long-term investors have come to expect? We won't know until we know, but for now I'm going to vote "yes" and hang on to my shares.

For more healthful Foolishness:

Johnson and Johnson is an Income Investor recommendation. Vertex is a Rule Breakers pick. Pfizer and Wal-Mart are Inside Value recommendations. Not sure which newsletter best fits your investing style? Check our suite of investing newsletters with a30-day free trial.

Fool contributor Stephen Simpson owns shares of Johnson & Johnson, but has no financial interest in any other stocks mentioned (that means he's neither long nor short the shares). The Fool has an ironclad disclosure policy.

None

Invest Smarter with The Motley Fool

Join Over 1 Million Premium Members Receiving…

  • New Stock Picks Each Month
  • Detailed Analysis of Companies
  • Model Portfolios
  • Live Streaming During Market Hours
  • And Much More
Get Started Now

Stocks Mentioned

Walmart Stock Quote
Walmart
WMT
$131.31 (0.96%) $1.25
Johnson & Johnson Stock Quote
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
$165.70 (-0.61%) $-1.02
Pfizer Inc. Stock Quote
Pfizer Inc.
PFE
$43.83 (-0.57%) $0.25
Stryker Corporation Stock Quote
Stryker Corporation
SYK
$203.26 (-1.77%) $-3.67
Medtronic plc Stock Quote
Medtronic plc
MDT
$81.33 (-1.61%) $-1.33
Boston Scientific Corporation Stock Quote
Boston Scientific Corporation
BSX
$38.36 (-1.39%) $0.54
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated Stock Quote
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated
VRTX
$276.78 (-2.35%) $-6.67

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Related Articles

Motley Fool Returns

Motley Fool Stock Advisor

Market-beating stocks from our award-winning analyst team.

Stock Advisor Returns
329%
 
S&P 500 Returns
106%

Calculated by average return of all stock recommendations since inception of the Stock Advisor service in February of 2002. Returns as of 09/27/2022.

Discounted offers are only available to new members. Stock Advisor list price is $199 per year.

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.