Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

A Giant Gusher in the Gulf of Mexico

By Toby Shute – Updated Apr 6, 2017 at 1:06AM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

BP might not be the biggest beneficiary of its new discovery.

BP (NYSE:BP) today stands for Be Proud -- proud of a "giant" new discovery in the deepwater Gulf of Mexico.

The supermajor's Tiber Prospect was drilled in Keathley Canyon, a section of the offshore frontier that's been firing imaginations since BP, along with Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE:APC) and Devon Energy (NYSE:DVN), made the Kaskida discovery there in 2006. The Tiber discovery follows Chevron's (NYSE:CVX) success earlier this year with its Buckskin prospect, also in Keathley Canyon.

The buzz from BP, which didn't release any figures other than the well's water depth and total drilling depth (4,132 feet and 35,055 feet, respectively), is that Tiber is bigger and better than Kaskida. The latter is estimated to contain at least 3 billion barrels of oil in place, with perhaps 500 million barrels recoverable. That's got analysts at UBS thinking that Tiber recoveries will fall in the range of 500 million to 1 billion barrels.

That sounds like a serious haul, but we have to remember what a behemoth BP is. Even if the company's 62% stake (minority partners are Petrobras (NYSE:PBR) at 20% and ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) at 18%) is worth $1.9 billion, as ballparked by Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS), that barely moves the needle for the $164 billion company. My Foolish colleague David Lee Smith was absolutely correct in his assessment that BP is becoming a shining star in the deepwater. However, there are companies out there with more discovery upside.

While they won't see a dime from Tiber, the companies that may have the most to celebrate today are Anadarko and Devon. Both independents, of much more modest stature than BP, have plenty more prospects in the Keathley Canyon area. Devon, in particular, should be pleased as punch, because it's currently seeking a partner to help shoulder the cost of its pricey deepwater program. The Tiber discovery ought to send more suitors to its door.

Petrobras is a Motley Fool Income Investor recommendation. Dive deep into our dividend-focused newsletter free for 30 days.

Fool contributor Toby Shute doesn't have a position in any company mentioned. Check out his CAPS profile or follow his articles using Twitter or RSS. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Invest Smarter with The Motley Fool

Join Over 1 Million Premium Members Receiving…

  • New Stock Picks Each Month
  • Detailed Analysis of Companies
  • Model Portfolios
  • Live Streaming During Market Hours
  • And Much More
Get Started Now

Stocks Mentioned

BP p.l.c. Stock Quote
BP p.l.c.
BP
$27.26 (-2.92%) $0.82
Devon Energy Corporation Stock Quote
Devon Energy Corporation
DVN
$55.18 (-4.35%) $-2.51
Anadarko Petroleum Corporation Stock Quote
Anadarko Petroleum Corporation
APC
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. Stock Quote
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
GS
$294.62 (-2.43%) $-7.35
Chevron Corporation Stock Quote
Chevron Corporation
CVX
$140.96 (-2.63%) $-3.81
ConocoPhillips Stock Quote
ConocoPhillips
COP
$99.20 (-1.38%) $-1.39
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras Stock Quote
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
PBR
$12.16 (-3.11%) $0.39

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Related Articles

Motley Fool Returns

Motley Fool Stock Advisor

Market-beating stocks from our award-winning analyst team.

Stock Advisor Returns
329%
 
S&P 500 Returns
106%

Calculated by average return of all stock recommendations since inception of the Stock Advisor service in February of 2002. Returns as of 09/26/2022.

Discounted offers are only available to new members. Stock Advisor list price is $199 per year.

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.