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Domino's Doesn't Satisfy

By Bill Mann – Updated Nov 16, 2016 at 4:54PM

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Domino's first quarter as a public company should come with a free pie. That'd be something, at least.

Well, at least Domino's Pizza (NYSE:DPZ) is unapologetic. In its first quarterly earnings report since the company went public, David Brandon noted with pride that its IPO was able to provide its selling shareholders with boffo returns. David, my friend, your new shareholders don't care at all about your ability to transfer their money to the sellers. I doubt, if they'd thought about it, they'd be very happy at all about the fact that the old shareholders approved a plan last year that cashed them out once by levering up Domino's balance sheet in a recapitalization and then were able to cash out again by selling much of what was left of their equity.

But thank you for taking this point head-on.

Domino's quarterly report makes it clear just how much impact the recapitalization has on ongoing operations. Its interest expense payments of $13 million are nearly as high as its net income of $15.9 million. Yes, $900 million-plus in debt is an awfully large burden for a company with a revenue run rate of $1.3 billion per year and razor-thin earnings before tax (EBT).

But you know what? It doesn't make much sense to grouse about Domino's debt, nor about the fact that most of the proceeds from the IPO didn't go to company coffers. Both of these issues were well-known to shareholders prior to their decisions to purchase the stock, or at least they should have been.

Domino's earnings this quarter were deeply impacted by rising raw material costs, most notably cheese, which rose in price an average of $0.90 per pound, or 81%. On a nearly 10% increase in top-line sales, Domino's operating income increased 0.5%. After the interest costs were subtracted, the company's earnings level declined 9.2%. The top-line growth is certainly promising, and reflecting the analysis we posted a few weeks ago, Domino's international outlets showed dramatically better results on a constant currency and on a nominal basis than its domestic results.

Really, though, I just have to continue to regard Domino's as a company that went public for all the wrong reasons -- a slow-growth company that has saturated all of its easy markets and has been larded with debt and beset by sharp competition from Papa John's (NASDAQ:PZZA), Yum! Brands' (NYSE:YUM) Pizza Hut, and scores of other pizza delivery shops. Domino's extraordinarily condensed cash flow statements provide not much better news -- $52 million in operating cash flow, $35 million in free cash flow for the last two quarters. The price to earnings, free cash flow, and enterprise values for this company are enormous. For the life of me, I can't figure out why they're in any way justified.

Bill Mann owns none of the companies mentioned in this story. Check out our brand spanking new Domino's Pizza discussion board! Only on Fool.com.

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Stocks Mentioned

Yum! Brands, Inc. Stock Quote
Yum! Brands, Inc.
YUM
$109.16 (-1.35%) $-1.49
Papa John's International, Inc. Stock Quote
Papa John's International, Inc.
PZZA
$75.40 (0.33%) $0.25
Domino's Pizza, Inc. Stock Quote
Domino's Pizza, Inc.
DPZ
$324.74 (-1.59%) $-5.26

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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