To this Fool, and at these prices, Taiwan Semiconductor
Certainly, the first quarter was a good one for this leading manufacturer of other people's chips. Revenue rose 39% from last year and declined about 5% sequentially -- a smaller decline than had been expected. Margins were up on a year-over-year basis (down sequentially), and the company shipped over 2% more wafers than in the immediately preceding quarter.
Cash flow was also strong this quarter, but that's part of what makes me a little nervous. At these production levels, Taiwan Semiconductor is basically at capacity, and that's usually the point at which the company invests in more capacity -- which sucks up cash flow and ultimately leads to the cyclical nature of the business. Then again, maybe, just maybe, the industry has learned something from the past, and companies like Taiwan Semi, together with United Microelectronics
Certainly, there are plenty of good companies that rely upon Taiwan Semi -- companies like Silicon Labs
Given that I'm still guardedly optimistic on the chip sector in general, my leanings on Taiwan Semi are positive -- particularly since I think these shares look cheap. By the same token, there's a lot of angst right now about where we are in the chip cycle, what it'll do in terms of capacity increases, how the competition will react, and so forth. And then there's also the chance that Philips
For more Foolish thoughts on the semiconductor space:
- Fab Results From Taiwan's Biggest Fab
- No Dip for Intersil's Chips
- Will New Products Break on Old Cycle?
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Fool contributor Stephen Simpson has no financial interest in any stocks mentioned (that means he's neither long nor short the shares).