Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

Check Out Kroger's Growth

By Rich Duprey – Updated Nov 15, 2016 at 12:53AM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The supermarket chain records forecast-beating results while stealing market share.

Supermarket chain Kroger (NYSE:KR) showed how combining sales growth with buying back shares can lead to earnings expansion, all the while taking on and beating the competition.

The fourth-quarter results from the grocery chain underscored its strength in challenging industry titan Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT) and according to internal calculations, it stole significant amounts of market share. In 38 of 44 major markets that it competes in, Kroger says it is either No. 1 or No. 2 and that its share rose by 65 basis points in 2006 overall.

One analyst cheekily referred to it as the "black death effect," in that whenever Wal-Mart moves into a market, most competitors die, but not everyone. If you're still standing after two years you are likely stronger than before.

Kroger demonstrated that it's apparently immune from the Wal-Mart plague. Sales in the quarter rose over 14%, boosted in large part by an exceptionally strong extra retail week. Indentical-store sales -- which Kroger defines as stores open for at least five quarters without expansion or relocation -- grew 5.3% over last year, excluding the benefit of fuel sales. Profits far exceeded analyst expectations, coming in at $384.8 million. The $0.54 per-share results enjoyed a $0.07 per-share benefit from the extra week, but that had been factored into Kroger's estimates, as well as analyst forecasts. The supermarket, though, thought the gain would only amount to $0.05 per share.

The supermarket is taking on Wal-Mart on its own turf. It competes against the discount retailer's supercenters in 32 markets and found that its market share increased by 75 basis points in 2006. Wal-Mart operates 1,000 of its 2,257 supercenters in these markets, and Kroger was able to steal share from the discount king in 26 of them. Kroger is expanding its Marketplace store concept, where it sells not only groceries, but also furniture, appliances, and home furnishings, with some locations featuring some of its own Fred Meyer's jewelry stores, a Starbucks (NYSE:SBUX), or even a pizzeria.

Kroger's continues to expand its organic foods segment, in both produce and meat, and continues to see good customer acceptance of the category. It still faces tough competition there from Whole Foods Markets (NASDAQ:WFMI), which has expanded its own reach with a coming merger with Wild Oats (NASDAQ:OATS).

Expanding its presence by keeping prices low to compete with Wal-Mart, while venturing into organics that are dominated by Whole Foods, could have been a tricky maneuver. Yet operating margins actually grew year over year to 4.1% as it reduced its overhead, at the same time boosting sales.

Six months ago, I had identified Kroger as my favorite grocery chain among choices like Safeway (NYSE:SWY) and Pantry (NASDAQ:PTRY). I thought at $23 a share, it was fairly priced but would have preferred to buy it at a discount. Results show I underestimated its potential. Coupled with share buybacks and paying down its debt, Kroger's has improved its position and looks poised to generate additional shareholder gains.

For more these produce peddlers, check out:

Starbucks and Whole Foods are recommendations of Motley Fool Stock Advisor. Wal-Mart is a recommendation of Motley Fool Inside Value. Whatever your investing style, The Motley Fool has a newsletter for you. Take a 30-day no-cost trial subscription today.

Fool contributor Rich Duprey owns shares of the black death Wal-Mart but does not own any of the other stocks mentioned in this article. You can see his holdings here. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

None

Invest Smarter with The Motley Fool

Join Over 1 Million Premium Members Receiving…

  • New Stock Picks Each Month
  • Detailed Analysis of Companies
  • Model Portfolios
  • Live Streaming During Market Hours
  • And Much More
Get Started Now

Stocks Mentioned

The Kroger Co. Stock Quote
The Kroger Co.
KR
$45.00 (0.31%) $0.14
Walmart Stock Quote
Walmart
WMT
$131.31 (0.96%) $1.25
Whole Foods Market, Inc. Stock Quote
Whole Foods Market, Inc.
WFM

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Related Articles

Motley Fool Returns

Motley Fool Stock Advisor

Market-beating stocks from our award-winning analyst team.

Stock Advisor Returns
329%
 
S&P 500 Returns
106%

Calculated by average return of all stock recommendations since inception of the Stock Advisor service in February of 2002. Returns as of 09/27/2022.

Discounted offers are only available to new members. Stock Advisor list price is $199 per year.

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.