Man, I'm stoked! I just watched Maria Bartiromo slap around one of those monster screamers on CNBC.
I won't call the fellow out by name (eventually he's got to be right, right?), but I just had to pile on with this: "You go, girl!" It's about time somebody stood up to one of these Chicken Littles.
Yes, the market may crash!
Heck, it may have crashed before you read this. But I don't care. Honestly, what do we care if investors open the floodgates this afternoon? Think I've lost my marbles? Well, let me explain ...
I graduated with a degree in finance in May 1987. (My mother still can't believe it.) A few months later, the stock market up and "crashed." I was an unabashed bull then, and I've been one ever since. But back to graduation ...
Whether it was to divert me from her shock that I'd passed, or to better express it, I'll never know. But the day I chucked "Modern Portfolio Theory" for good, my mother handed me a rectangular plastic case with a worn black rubber handle.
So what was inside?
I'll tell you. For now, just know that had I sold it instead of keeping it, I could have used the money to buy Intel (NASDAQ:INTC). I'd have more than a thousand shares right now worth nearly $30,000. You know where this is going, right? If I'd bought Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), I'd be sitting on $110,000.
I'd look a bit more human buying Sun Microsystems (NASDAQ:JAVA). I'd have just seven grand. But if I'd waited a year and bought Dell (NASDAQ:DELL) instead? I could hire Paul Reed Smith to clean out my garage -- and while he's at it, craft me a brand-new present from Hope diamonds and dinosaur bones.
OK. Those are some outrageous examples. So, let's dial it back a bit. What if I'd bought Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ)? Hardly took a genius to buy ole J&J in 1987, right? Well, now I'd have $18,000. Or how about old-school ExxonMobil (NYSE:XOM)? I'd still be loving life.
Still too good to be true?
Boy, tough crowd. Let's just assume I sold my new toy and dumped the money into a plain-vanilla S&P 500 index fund, and then went to grad school to "learn" to write poems and watch Denis Johnson not drink. I'd still be up a rather dazzling 418%. Of course, that's my whole point.
And that's why I work here at The Motley Fool. And why those Chicken Littles on TV drive me nuts. They cost you money. That's also why I was thrilled to help out David and Tom Gardner back when they launched their Motley Fool Stock Advisor newsletter back in 2002 -- in the teeth of a bear market.
After all, Stock Advisor is not just about helping ordinary investors like us find stocks that beat the market. It encourages us to stay in the market and harness the power of this unstoppable long-term wealth-building machine. Through good times and bad -- no matter how scary the future looks day to day.
Give me date ... a date!
That's what I think Maria should say to the next Chicken Little that hits CNBC. "Give me a date." Remember, I graduated from college back in 1987. What you might not remember is that the decade in which we "borrowed a trillion dollars and threw ourselves a party" wasn't the 2000s -- it was the 1980s.
The 1970s -- now that was the decade we "amassed the crippling debt that was going to bring us to our knees." Sound familiar? So please, perma-bears: Next time you get on TV saying "the sky is falling," "we're breaking beneath the yoke of debt," or "the U.S. economy is headed for years of contraction if not outright depression" ... give me a date!
As for you, fellow investor, take these dire predictions with a grain of salt. And if you're in your prime savings and investing years, promise me you'll stay invested and keep on investing. The market will go down. We will have another recession. But that was true when I was a boy back in 1979 -- and here we are again.
So what the heck was in the box?
Earlier, I mentioned David and Tom Gardner. I can't speak for their precise beliefs, but I assure you they're long-term bulls on America and its markets. And according to watchdog Hulbert Financial Digest, they're having no problem whatsoever digging up great companies that are making folks like us a lot of money.
To the tune of 21.8% annualized, according to Hulbert. If you want to see why their recommendations are up an average 75%, while the broader market has managed just 29%, consider this: Try Stock Advisor for an entire month on me. You can take 30 days to decide if you like what you see.
Of course, nobody can guarantee that David and Tom will keep up this pace forever, but it's their sworn mission to help you beat the market year after year. My money's on them. Plus, now you've got nothing to lose but your fear. To find out more about this special Stock Advisor free trial, click here.
This article was first published July 13, 2007. It has been updated.
Paul Elliott opened the box. It wasn't a Paul Reed Smith. It was a mid-'80s Fender Stratocaster. Made in the U.S. of A. Paul still owns the Strat, as well as Johnson & Johnson. Intel, Microsoft, and Dell are Motley Fool Inside Value recommendations. Dell is a Stock Advisor pick. Johnson & Johnson is an Income Investor pick. You can view the entire Stock Advisor scorecard immediately with your free trial. The Motley Fool is investors writing for investors.
