Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

3 Stocks That Missed the Mark

By Anders Bylund – Updated Apr 6, 2017 at 3:12AM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

A peek at companies that overpromised and under delivered.

These three companies just didn't live up to Mr. Market's expectations last week. Sometimes an earnings stumble is a signal to sell, but digging in the dirt is also a good way to find turnaround candidates while they're beaten down.

Earnings season has started in earnest, so we've got some brand-name stocks for you this week.

Flying too close to the Sun
First up is aluminum producer Alcoa (NYSE:AA). An adjusted net loss of $0.34 per share on sales of $5.7 billion came as a surprise to the average Wall Street analyst, who had expected a smaller $0.10 loss per share. One year ago, Alcoa proudly presented earnings of $0.75 per share on $6.1 billion in sales.

Aluminum prices coasted skyward over the last couple of years, but then did their best impression of Icarus and fell to earth this winter amid a flurry of singed feathers and a gentle rain of melted wax. A pound of aluminum now costs about half of the mid-2008 highs. Alcoa chief Klaus Kleinfeld has "streamlined" the company's portfolio to focus on areas "where Alcoa is the recognized leader," among other cost-control measures.

Fellow Fool David Lee Smith points out that lesser aluminum mavens like Norsk Hydro (NYSE:NHY) and Rio Tinto (NYSE:RTP) have lost their CEOs in this convocation of weak demand from builders, automakers, and appliance makers. "But what should we do about Alcoa now?" Dave ponders. His response is simple: "Absolutely nothing." A great company will sail through this perfect storm while lesser sailors flounder and sink. Alcoa has been through weather like this before -- and despite the net losses, Alcoa still produced $600 million of operating cash flow last quarter.

Buyout or bust!
Let's move on to some hot biotech action. Cancer-fighting drug designer Genentech (NYSE:DNA) collected a non-GAAP net profit of $0.95 per share on $3.7 billion of sales, up from $0.69 per share and $3.0 billion last year, respectively. That growth wasn't quite enough for the analyst crowd, however, and fell a penny short.

Genentech has received a couple of crumpled love notes from Swiss pharma prodigy Roche Holding (OTC BB: RHHBY.PK), including a $47.3 billion buyout offer last July. Roche says it's still interested in Genentech, and it darn well should be -- you don't own 56% of a company you despise, right? Some analysts expect another merger bid in the $100-per-share range.

As fellow Fool Dr. Brian Orelli writes, investors are probably best off "to value Genentech based on its growth potential as an independent company and then be pleasantly surprised if there's a windfall from an acquisition." Its portfolio of cancer-busting blockbusters and deep pipeline show plenty of promise, and our CAPS community can tell you more about the valuation implications.

Baa, baa, black sheep
Our last underperformer of the week is also the biggest. Megabank Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) was supposed to show a $0.02 profit per share this quarter, down from $0.05 per share a year ago, but instead had to admit to a loss of $0.48 per share.

These terrible results include Countrywide Financial, but not Merrill Lynch, because one deal closed last summer but the other on New Year's Day. It's bad enough that Morgan Housel, another of my esteemed Foolish peers, called for CEO Ken Lewis' head on a silver platter: "Make no mistake about what happened here: Lewis jumped the gun with Merrill Lynch, and shareholders are now paying dearly. On top of the $33 billion already paid for the broker, let's tack on the $4 billion in preferred stock (plus $320 million a year in associated dividends), $400 million in warrants, and lost income from having to ax common shareholder dividends. Ah, the gift that keeps on pillaging."

Merrill Lynch, on its own, saw a $15.3 billion loss in the fourth quarter, though the government's $20 billion bailout contribution balances out that shortfall very nicely. On your dime and mine, mind you. Citigroup (NYSE:C) took one kind of bitter pill and split in two last week, while Bank of America is going the other way and just tacking on more money-losing appendages.

At some point, you'd think the banks surely must bounce back. But from where I sit, rock bottom still looks far, far away.

Further Foolish Reading:

Seeking great deals on unfairly punished stocks? Philip Durell and his merry band of Fools at the Motley Fool Inside Value newsletter service are standing by to help you find great stocks at ridiculously low markdowns. Try a 30-day trial subscription to see whether bargain-hunting is right for you.

Fool contributor Anders Bylund holds no position in the companies discussed this week, and isn't too worried about cancer drugs at the moment. Norsk Hydro is an Income Investor selection, whereas Bank of America is a former one. The Fool has an ironclad disclosure policy, and you can see his current holdings for yourself.

Invest Smarter with The Motley Fool

Join Over 1 Million Premium Members Receiving…

  • New Stock Picks Each Month
  • Detailed Analysis of Companies
  • Model Portfolios
  • Live Streaming During Market Hours
  • And Much More
Get Started Now

Stocks Mentioned

Alcoa Inc. Stock Quote
Alcoa Inc.
AA
Citigroup Inc. Stock Quote
Citigroup Inc.
C
$42.99 (-2.87%) $-1.27
Bank of America Corporation Stock Quote
Bank of America Corporation
BAC
$31.03 (-2.21%) $0.70

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Related Articles

Motley Fool Returns

Motley Fool Stock Advisor

Market-beating stocks from our award-winning analyst team.

Stock Advisor Returns
329%
 
S&P 500 Returns
106%

Calculated by average return of all stock recommendations since inception of the Stock Advisor service in February of 2002. Returns as of 09/27/2022.

Discounted offers are only available to new members. Stock Advisor list price is $199 per year.

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.