Well, I hate to say "I told you so." But it feels good to have been right from the get-go, especially with shareholders' interests on the line.
Broad-line microchip maker Atmel
"In light of the economic uncertainty and the lack of visibility that continues to exist with respect to Atmel's business, Microchip is no longer able to put a value on Atmel," said Microchip CEO Steve Sanghi. Atmel preferred to trumpet a couple of tasty operational numbers in response and walk away without gloating much: "Microcontroller revenues grew 14% in 2008 and full year gross profit margins reached the highest level since 2000. As we enter the next phase of Atmel's transformation plan, we remain confident that we are on the right track to further enhance shareholder value."
As mergers go, this one never smelled right. Microchip really only wanted one part of Atmel's business and was quite ready to chop Atmel in pieces and sell the rest to the highest bidder. That made sense for Microchip, given that the original $5 bid per share came out to a $2.3 billion investment. Microchip only has $1.4 billion of cash on hand, and financing deals with new debt is not easy to do these days.
Of course, Microchip could still come back again later, kind of like how Microsoft
But that's a long shot at best. While the computer memory industry looks likely to consolidate as companies seek cost reductions in the face of rapidly declining demand, sales of the advanced microcontrollers and ASICs that Atmel makes have held up better in the recession, and their manufacturers are less prone to consolidate for survival's sake. For that reason, look for Atmel to stay independent for the foreseeable future.
Oh, and by the way: I told you so.
Fool contributor Anders Bylund holds no position in any of the companies discussed here, and thinks that betting on iffy buyouts is a loser's game. You can check out Anders' holdings or a concise bio if you like, and The Motley Fool is investors writing for investors.