Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.

What: SIGA Technologies (Nasdaq: SIGA) shares fell as much as 22% on Monday before recovering slightly.

So what: SIGA may lose a $2.8 billion contract with the government because the Small Business Administration doesn't think it is a small business. The contract, for a strategic national stockpile of its smallpox drug, was supposed to go to a small business.

Now what: Rival Chimerix is the company bringing up the complaint, but I have to wonder how small can a business be to fill a $500 million base contract that could be worth as much as $2.8 billion? The contract may be amended, but I think shares will recover later in the day because SIGA will likely not lose the entire contract. I'm buying today's drop and think shares will recover once this storm blows over.

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