Have you been buying junk? Have you been thumbing your nose at default risk and chasing after companies that have shown more red than the Philadelphia Phillies?
If you have, you've probably been pretty happy with the results. As a recent Bloomberg article highlighted, the seemingly lowest-quality companies have watched their stocks outperform so far this year. Bloomberg notes:
Consider shares of companies that rating agencies think could stiff lenders. Stocks of so-called junk-rated companies rose 19 percent from the start of the year through Dec. 16, according to Bespoke. By comparison, those of stable and flush companies with ratings of AA or higher returned six percent.
Now, I'm no stranger to the allure of Dumpster diving -- earlier this month I highlighted five beaten-down stocks that I think could surprise investors. But as much as I like those picks, I would not want to rely on any of them to be part of my core holdings -- that is, the high-quality, mostly dividend-paying companies that anchor my portfolio.
What's interesting is that thanks in large part to investors' love of junk this year, many higher-quality companies are trading at attractive valuations. In few sectors is this quite as noticeable as consumer staples. The sector has underperformed the total S&P 500 index year-to-date, quarter-to-date, and month-to-date. In fact, during December, utilities is the only group to lag consumer staples.
But these are largely great companies that we're talking about and many of them are well worth investor attention. Here are nine that you could consider for your Christmas stock shopping list.
I'm selfishly hesitant to mention Wal-Mart -- I've been contemplating adding to my personal stake in the stock and as soon as I mention it, I have to wait before buying. But the list could hardly be complete without Wal-Mart. The company is the retail giant, a well-run -- if highly controversial -- company that delivers low prices for its customers just as it brings profit back to its shareholders. And with a forward price-to-earnings multiple of just over 12, I think it's a steal.
2. Procter & Gamble
I'm not crazy about P&G's current valuation. However, its price isn't nearly high enough
that we could deign to leave it off this list. A brand powerhouse that includes such must-haves as Gillette, Crest, Pampers, and Old Spice, P&G and its 10% return on capital and 3% dividend can offer some much-needed quality in any portfolio. And if the stock price falls? That'd likely be a great opportunity to buy even more.
Wait, what happened to PepsiCo's well-known, well-loved archrival? Sorry, but it's not making an appearance here. It's a great company, I love the products, but it's just gotten too pricey. I have, however, had my eye on PepsiCo. The lesser cola company? Hardly. PepsiCo has a great beverage lineup, good global exposure, and an interesting eye on offering more nutritious products. As they say in Brazil, "Pode ser bom, pode ser muito bom, pode ser Pepsi" ("Can be good, can be very good, can be Pepsi").
Am I hypocritical for hating smoking but suggesting an investment in a cigarette company? Yes, probably, but I'll work that out that inner struggle with my therapist. For our purposes here, though, Altria has been hands-down one of the best equity investments out there. The stock has had a serious run-up since mid-summer, but investors that jump in today will still grab a 6.1% dividend.
5. and 6. CVS
Which of the two battling pharmacy titans is better? I think Walgreen may be the better company, but CVS is the cheaper stock, so I'll leave it as a bit of a toss-up. Suffice it to say that investors should be well served by either. Though health care is one of the few sectors to lag consumer staples this year -- and both CVS and Walgreen straddle the sectors -- I'm sold on the long-term prospects for well-entrenched areas of health care like drugstores.
7. Kimberly Clark
Kimberly Clark's products don't get treated well. We blow our nose on Kleenex, wipe up messes with Scott paper towels, and our babies ... well, they do what they do in Huggies. But the company's stock is another matter entirely. With a very solid business, a 14% return on capital, a 14 price-to-earnings ratio, and a 4.2% dividend, this is a stock well worth owning.
On the basis of its P/E ratio, Hershey doesn't look particularly cheap, and really it's not terribly cheap. However, to get the real financial story for Hershey, you have to tune in to the company's prodigious cash flow. From a business perspective, while many other branded consumer staples companies are battling with private-label products, I see the threat as much lower for Hershey. Personally, I have been known to buy off-brand paper towels, but if I'm hankering for some Reese's or a Kit-Kat, I'm not settling for anything but the real thing.
9. Molson Coors
Beer, a staple among staples. What's better than kicking back in your favorite armchair with a cold brew? How about knowing that cracking open that beer is helping to pay you a dividend? Molson is a solid, easily understood company that's currently trading at a reasonable price. Earlier this year during the Fool's 11 O'Clock stock series, Molson also became an official Motley Fool holding.
Any one of the nine stocks above could put you to sleep with its plodding day-to-day movements. But I think all of those nine will be solid investments over the next five to ten years. Think I've skipped over a good one? Head down to the comments section and make your pitch.
I think Wal-Mart is a great pick right now, but my fellow Fools aren't so sure. They see Wal-Mart taking a back seat to some new "cash kings" in the changing retail sector. Find out who these cash kings are by checking out the free special report.