And they're off! On Friday, little-known New York broker BTIG Research became the first analyst (to my knowledge) to officially endorse the spinoff of Cablevision's
No wonder. The network that once subsisted on "American Movie Classics" now boasts a slate of original series such as Mad Men (available this summer on Netflix
But while everyone knows the shows, Yahoo! Finance has essentially no data on the company (tentatively tickered "AMCXV"). The Fool's favorite data source, Capital IQ -- a division of Standard & Poor's -- does have some info for us, though.
According to Capital IQ, AMC will be a big company. Already trading under the ticker named above, AMC is valued at a $3 billion market cap, and just less than $38 a share. (That's about $10 per share short of where BTIG values it.)
At this price, however, I'm not sure AMC's stock will show much of a pulse once it finally breaks free from Cablevision. BTIG suggests the company will quickly get snapped up by a larger rival like CBS
Alas, valuation could be a problem here. We're not sure how profitable AMC is, but Capital IQ pegs its annual revenue at about $1.1 billion, giving the stock a 2.7 price-to-sales ratio. The potential buyers named above, in contrast, sell for P/S ratios between 1.3 and 1.6.
The quality of its lineup notwithstanding, I think the networks would have to be crazy to pay so much for AMC -- especially since Cablevision is loading it up with $2.4 billion in debt ahead of the spinoff.
I don't think you need to watch this spinoff right away. For now, I'd suggest you DVR AMC, and wait for the numbers to firm up and the valuation to come down.
Fool contributor Rich Smith holds no position in any company mentioned. Click here to see his holdings and a short bio. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Netflix. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying puts in Netflix. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.