Inquiring minds want to know – just how long will Brocade Communications
Last night details emerged that the world's largest private-equity firm, Blackstone Group
This same report from Bloomberg also went on to mention that smaller private-equity firm Thoma Bravo attempted to purchase Brocade, but simply couldn't get the leverage to support such a large buyout. With unsubstantiated claims still flying, a person familiar with the situation also noted that Dell
Are you confused yet? Well relax, because that's a lot of information and might-be's to ingest all at once.
The real takeaway here remains the same -- that Foundry Networks products, which Brocade acquired in 2008, are the real allure of any takeover bidder. Brocade's networking switches became obsolete with the introduction of Fibre Channel over Ethernet switches by Cisco Systems
It has strong supply partnerships, as I've noted recently with IBM
Brocade's valuation will also play a defining role in whether or not it gets purchased. A few months ago, when the stock was trading w ell below $4, many, including myself, felt the rewards far outweighed the risks. With a closing valuation yesterday of $2.65 billion and the stock headed up another 4% in after-hours, the prospects of a premium on any buyout offer are quickly flying out of the window.
I stand by my recommendation in January that Brocade remains a buy, but investors should really temper their expectations. Even if Brocade doesn't get a deal done in 2012, it still offers value with a forward P/E of just 10 and a price-to-cash-flow of 6.5. Both of these metrics are considerably lower than its five-year averages.
Keep up on the latest Brocade buyout chatter by adding it to your free and personalized Watchlist and feel free to post your thoughts on who might purchase Brocade, if anyone, in the comments section below.
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Fool contributor Sean Williams has no material interest in any companies mentioned in this article. He enjoys trying to predict who buys whom next. You can follow him on CAPS under the screen name TMFUltraLong, track every pick he makes under the screen name TrackUltraLong, and check him out on Twitter, where he goes by the handle @TMFUltraLong.
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