Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.

What: Shares of Cheniere Energy (AMEX: LNG) jumped 16% today after an industry executive gave very bullish statements about liquefied natural gas.

So what: BG Group CEO Frank Chapman said he saw strong demand for the LNG market in the future, saying he thought 45 million tons of LNG could be exported from the U.S. by 2020. BG Group has an export deal with Cheniere if it can build its export terminal.

Now what: Cheniere has been jumping around as deals and bullish news about LNG have happened, but it still won't have an export terminal for many years. And it still has no way to pay for it under its current capital structure. I can't buy into today's hype for Cheniere even though I agree that LNG could be a great export from the U.S. in the future.

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