Article after article is talking about how disappointed investors are at the thought of another four years of an Obama administration and a stalemate with Congress. But that's not the real reason markets are down today. In fact, markets were up during premarket trading, when everyone knew the election results. But they went into free fall after market killer Mario Draghi said Europe was in even worse shape than anticipated, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI +0.19%) and the S&P 500 (^GSPC 0.01%) are both down 2.1% as of 3:15 p.m. EST.
For years, Germany has been the one bright spot in Europe, but today Draghi said that Europe's crisis is hurting the euro block's largest economy. As a result, the European Commission cut the eurozone's growth forecast for 2013 from 1% to 0.1%.
The news from Europe and an additional four years of Obama have been a double-whammy to banking stocks today. JPMorgan (JPM +1.17%) is down 5.1%, and Bank of America (BAC +1.47%) has been pummeled 6.3% lower on the developments. More regulation is bad for banks, but they've been preparing for it for years. What would be even worse for banks would be a collapse of the euro -- which seems more and more likely all the time as the European economy deteriorates.
Oil futures and energy stocks also took it on the chin today. Oil is down 4.8% to $84.43, giving up gains from recent days. As a result, oil producers ExxonMobil (XOM +2.85%) has fallen 3%, and Chevron (CVX +1.47%) is down 2.5%. The big move in oil is in part a reaction to Obama's election, because he has put a big focus on reducing oil consumption through more fuel-efficient vehicles.
Markets weren't really surprised by the election, because Obama was predicted to win by most nonpartisan analysts, so it's silly to think that today's declines owe solely to the election. Europe has had far more impact on the markets today, and the uncertainty there will be just as important as the possible ramifications of the fiscal cliff.
