Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

What to Watch When Hasbro Inc. Reports Q1 Earnings on Monday

By Beth McKenna - Apr 14, 2016 at 4:29PM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

New revenue sources kick in this quarter for the toymaker, thanks to its growing ties with Disney.

Image source: Hasbro.

Game time's approaching! Hasbro (HAS -0.98%) reports its first quarter 2016 results before the market opens on Monday, April 18.

Investing in the toy and game maker has been the Monopoly game equivalent of building hotels and receiving high rent payments. The stock has returned nearly 27%, including dividends, for the one-year period through April 8, significantly outpacing the S&P 500's flat return, though falling short of rival Mattel's 43.5% return.

Here's what investors should focus on in the upcoming report.

The headline numbers 
Here are the results from the year-ago period to use as benchmarks:

Q1 2015 Revenue   $713.5 million

Q1 2015 Earnings Per Share


Data source: Hasbro.

Long-term investors shouldn't pay much heed to analyst estimates as Wall Street is so focused on short-term results. That said, it's worth noting that Hasbro beat analyst expectations in every quarter in 2015. That momentum should bode well for this quarter, especially due to new Disney (DIS -2.00%) revenue sources kicking in.

Say hello to Disney Princess and Frozen revenue
Hasbro results should get a nice boost due to sales of dolls based on Disney Princess characters and the immensely popular Frozen movie. The global rights to make such dolls transitioned from Mattel to Hasbro on Jan. 1. Mattel's gross sales for this line in 2015 were about $450 million, which represents 10% of Hasbro's 2015 revenue. 

Investors should hone in on whatever management says about these new product lines.

Star Wars: The Force Awakens should still be a factor

Hasbro's Star Wars Lightsabers have been hot sellers. Image source: Hasbro.

Last quarter, Hasbro got a huge boost from Disney's The Force Awakens, which opened in domestic theaters on Dec. 18. The immense popularity of the film, along with the marketing blitz that preceded it, helped propel sales of Hasbro's movie-based toys, several of which topped best-selling holiday toy lists.

Hasbro's license from Disney to produce Star Wars-themed toys naturally won't be nearly as golden this quarter. However, it should still contribute somewhat to the quarter's results, as there's often a fair amount of holiday shopping that spills over into each new year. Additionally, the film's incredible success is likely driving non-holiday-related purchases of these toys. 

Preschool and boys categories will likely drive results
Look for Hasbro's preschool and boys categories to power its results this quarter just as they did in 2015. The girls category continues to be weak. However, this is in part due to how Hasbro categorizes its toys, in my view. Sales of Disney Princess and Frozen dolls should certainly help.

Nerf, Play-Doh, and Monopoly have been especially strong performers. We can probably expect more of the same, particularly since Hasbro has recently expanded the Nerf and Play-Doh product lineups. Nerf generated the most revenue of all Hasbro brands in 2015, while Play-Doh was the fastest-growing franchise brand in 2015 with year-over-year revenue jumping 32%.

Pie Face could have legs 
The Pie Face game was a tremendous winner last holiday season and likely has some legs, which should continue to help drive Hasbro's results. The company acquired the manufacturing and distribution rights for it last year.

Pie Face was named toy of the year for 2015 in the U.K. It also received the "best board game of 2016" honors from the U.S. Toy Industry Association during the 2016 North American International Toy Fair. 

Playing the long game 
We'd love to a see strong quarter, of course, but the most important factor for long-term investors is how well Hasbro is setting itself up for future success. 

The long-term game is Hasbro's to lose. The company sports strong ties with Disney, enjoys a broad portfolio of perennially popular brands, and has a good eye for bringing new winners into the fold. Notably, Hasbro should continue to profit tidily from sales of Star Wars toys. Disney has four more Star Wars films in the pipeline for the next few years -- two to complete the trilogy that began with The Force Awakens and two stand-alone movies.

Invest Smarter with The Motley Fool

Join Over 1 Million Premium Members Receiving…

  • New Stock Picks Each Month
  • Detailed Analysis of Companies
  • Model Portfolios
  • Live Streaming During Market Hours
  • And Much More
Get Started Now

Stocks Mentioned

Hasbro, Inc. Stock Quote
Hasbro, Inc.
$91.20 (-0.98%) $0.90
The Walt Disney Company Stock Quote
The Walt Disney Company
$105.18 (-2.00%) $-2.15

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Related Articles

Motley Fool Returns

Motley Fool Stock Advisor

Market-beating stocks from our award-winning service.

Stock Advisor Returns
S&P 500 Returns

Calculated by average return of all stock recommendations since inception of the Stock Advisor service in February of 2002. Returns as of 05/17/2022.

Discounted offers are only available to new members. Stock Advisor list price is $199 per year.

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.