Welcome to week 73 of my stock-picking throwdown with Mr. Market. Let's get right to the numbers.
Company |
Starting Price* |
Recent Price |
Total Return |
---|---|---|---|
Akamai |
$22.23 |
$26.48 |
19.1% |
Harris & Harris |
$6.22 |
$4.58 |
(26.4%) |
IBM |
$125.82** |
$130.85 |
4% |
Oracle |
$22.58** |
$24.68 |
9.3% |
Taiwan Semiconductor |
$9.81** |
$11.10 |
13.1% |
AVERAGE RETURN |
-- |
-- |
3.82% |
S&P 500 SPDR |
$122.43** |
$114.57 |
(6.42%) |
DIFFERENCE |
-- |
-- |
10.24 |
Source: Yahoo! Finance.
*Tracking began on Aug. 7, 2008.
**Adjusted for dividends and other returns of capital.
After a strong 2009 for my tech portfolio, Mr. Market threw the elbow to begin 2010, cutting into my lead by two percentage points.
Profit-taking could be partly to blame for my weekly loss. Tech stocks soared as Twitter and cloud computing dominated the 2009 headlines. With valuations as high they are economic uncertainty still in the air, investors can hardly be blamed for taking some money off the table.
Another possibility is that the broader market is benefiting from direct stimulus from the Federal Reserve investing directly in the likes of Citigroup
Short of an admission from Fed officials, we've no way of knowing if TrimTabs' theory is correct. Meanwhile, one of the industry's best-known prognosticators is bullish about the year ahead.
"Growth could come down when the stimulus wears off, but it doesn't go down," says Bob Doll, Chief Investment Officer of Equities for asset manager BlackRock. Doll was right on 11 of 12 predictions for 2009.
The week in tech
What's ahead for the digital world? A big fight in smartphones, it seems. Google
More than a few say that Google's choice to market the handset via the Web, where no one can touch it and play with it, is a huge mistake. Others, such as my Foolish colleague Anders Bylund, say the phone itself isn't the story; it's the strategy that matters. Nexus One represents mobile phone shoppers' first chance to taste network freedom.
Google's announcement came ahead of the Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas. At the show, Microsoft
But that's how it works in tech: try, fail, fail again, and then, with luck, succeed brilliantly. Patience and diversification are the keys to tech investing gains.
Look at David Gardner. He produced a decade of 20% returns in the real-money Rule Breaker portfolio by betting on a broad portfolio of innovators, and holding for the long-term. Tom Gardner's "simpleton portfolio" was also a 10-year winner. I believe that, with my tech portfolio, I will achieve similar success.
Checkup time!
Now let's move on to the rest of today's update:
- Last Monday, the creator of the MySQL database, Michael Widenius, sent a petition with 14,000 signatures from those who say they oppose Oracle's proposed $7 billion acquisition of Sun Microsystems, Reuters reports.
- On Friday, IBM launched a new financing business with Advanced Micro Devices
(NYSE:AMD) as its first customer. Dow Jones quotes Big Blue spokesperson Harriet Ip as saying the deal could bring in "hundreds of millions of dollars" in business for the company. Let's hope so.
There's your checkup. See you back next week when I review the year in tech.
Get your clicks with more techie Foolishness:
- Why Apple might hate me.
- Should your car speak Twitter?
- Ma Bell wants to date again.